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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Antwerp

S S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 13/20 matches

Win Ø 45%

69%

20%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

38%

45%

Both score Ø 36%

31%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	20	8	8	4	+8	32
2	Genk	14	9	4	1	+20	31
3	Charleroi	20	9	3	8	+4	30
4	Gent	14	9	2	3	+15	29
5	Antwerp	13	9	1	3	+9	28
6	Standard	14	7	5	2	+13	26
7	Kortrijk	20	6	7	7	-4	25
8	Cercle Brugge	20	7	4	9	-14	25
9	Club Brugge	13	7	3	3	+15	24
10	Anderlecht	14	7	3	4	+7	24
11	Oostende	20	6	4	10	-16	22
12	Eupen	20	7	1	12	-17	22
13	Beveren	20	4	8	8	-4	20
14	Waregem	20	5	5	10	-11	20
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	20	4	5	11	-10	17
16	Lokeren	20	3	5	12	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	10	7	0	3	+6	21
2	St Truiden	10	5	5	0	+8	20
3	Gent	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	-1	19
5	Genk	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+13	16
7	Waregem	10	4	3	3	+4	15
8	Eupen	11	5	0	6	-5	15
9	Standard	6	4	2	0	+9	14
10	Antwerp	7	4	1	2	+4	13
11	Oostende	9	4	1	4	-4	13
12	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+7	12
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Lokeren	10	3	3	4	-6	12
15	Beveren	10	2	5	3	-1	11
16	Kortrijk	9	2	3	4	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	11	4	4	3	+1	16
2	Antwerp	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Genk	6	4	2	0	+11	14
4	Standard	8	3	3	2	+4	12
5	St Truiden	10	3	3	4	+0	12
6	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
7	Gent	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-2	9
9	Beveren	10	2	3	5	-3	9
10	Oostende	11	2	3	6	-12	9
11	Club Brugge	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-12	7
13	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-13	6
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	1	2	7	-9	5
15	Waregem	10	1	2	7	-15	5
16	Lokeren	10	0	2	8	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.