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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Bordeaux
U U U U S
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
29%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 12. · Amiens 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 15 2 0 +40 47
2 Lille 19 10 4 5 +10 34
3 Lyon 18 9 5 4 +9 32
4 Montpellier 17 8 6 3 +12 30
5 St Etienne 18 8 6 4 +6 30
6 Marseille 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Strasbourg 19 6 8 5 +7 26
8 Rennes 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Reims 19 6 8 5 -3 26
10 Nice 18 7 5 6 -4 26
11 Nimes 18 6 5 7 -2 23
12 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Toulouse 18 5 6 7 -10 21
14 Nantes 17 5 5 7 -1 20
15 Angers 17 4 7 6 -2 19
16 Caen 19 3 9 7 -6 18
17 Amiens 17 5 1 11 -14 16
18 Dijon 18 4 4 10 -15 16
19 Monaco 18 3 4 11 -13 13
20 Guingamp 18 2 5 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Amiens
5′
🟨 Mathieu Bodmer
1–0 S. Kalu
Sergi Palencia
22′
I. Lewczuk 🔁
↦ Pablo
30′
36′
🟨 Cheick Timite
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ S. Mendoza
Y. Karamoh 🔁
↦ F. Kamano
61′
66′
🔁 E. Gnahoré
↦ A. Blin
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ Y. Sankharé
80′
80′
🔁 R. Kurzawa
↦ F. Otero
87′
E. Gnahoré 1–1
B. Dibassy
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
29 M. Poundjé D
3 Sergi Palencia D
5 Otávio M
4 J. Koundé D
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
7 J. Briand F
11 F. Kamano F
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
6 I. Lewczuk
8 Y. Karamoh
9 A. Cornelius
12 N. de Préville
16 G. Poussin
18 J. Plašil
26 T. Bašić

Coach: É. Bedouet

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
24 M. Bodmer D
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
12 B. Dibassy D
6 T. Monconduit M
17 A. Blin M
20 C. Timite M
10 S. Mendoza M
11 F. Otero F
Bench (7)
7 S. Ghoddos
5 E. Gnahoré
21 R. Kurzawa
33 S. Segarel
16 M. Dreyer
19 O. El Hajjam
25 J. Lefort

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.