Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bordeaux
Amiens
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | +40 | 47 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | +10 | 34 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 4 |
Montpellier
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 5 |
St Etienne
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +6 | 30 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 8 |
Rennes
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 26 |
| 9 |
Reims
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | -3 | 26 |
| 10 |
Nice
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Nimes
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 |
Bordeaux
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 21 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -10 | 21 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 |
Caen
|
19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |
Amiens
|
17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 |
Dijon
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -15 | 16 |
| 19 |
Monaco
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 |
Guingamp
|
18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -20 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Koundé
D
Coach: É. Bedouet
R. Gurtner
G
F. Otero
F
Coach: C. Pélissier
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bordeaux
St Etienne
Bordeaux
Paris SG
Dijon
Bordeaux
Bordeaux
Caen
Lyon
Bordeaux
M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.