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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

Nantes

T T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Marseille

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 39%

50%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

20%

45%

Both score Ø 37%

10%

64%

Average goals

1,9

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 10. · Marseille 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+20	32
2	Lyon	12	6	4	2	+9	22
3	Angers	12	6	4	2	+5	22
4	St Etienne	12	7	1	4	+3	22
5	Caen	12	7	0	5	-1	21
6	Monaco	12	5	5	2	+1	20
7	Nice	11	5	3	3	+10	18
8	Lorient	12	4	5	3	+1	17
9	Rennes	12	4	5	3	+1	17
10	Nantes	10	5	1	4	-1	16
11	Guingamp	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Reims	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Bordeaux	12	3	5	4	-4	14
14	Bastia	12	4	1	7	-5	13
15	Marseille	11	3	3	5	+4	12
16	Lille	12	2	6	4	-1	12
17	Montpellier	12	2	3	7	-6	9
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	12	2	3	7	-7	9
19	Toulouse	12	1	6	5	-9	9
20	Troyes	12	0	4	8	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Bastia	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Caen	6	4	0	2	-1	12
5	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Lorient	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Reims	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Angers	6	2	4	0	+2	10
10	Guingamp	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Nantes	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	Marseille	6	2	2	2	+7	8
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Rennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Nice	5	2	1	2	+4	7
16	Toulouse	6	1	4	1	+0	7
17	Lille	6	2	1	3	+0	7
18	Montpellier	6	2	0	4	-2	6
19	Monaco	6	1	3	2	-3	6
20	Troyes	7	0	3	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Monaco	6	4	2	0	+4	14
3	Angers	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Nice	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Caen	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Nantes	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Guingamp	6	2	1	3	-5	7
11	Lorient	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Lille	6	0	5	1	-1	5
13	Reims	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Marseille	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Bordeaux	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Toulouse	6	0	2	4	-9	2
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-8	1
19	Bastia	6	0	1	5	-9	1
20	Troyes	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.