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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Rosenborg
S T T S U
0–3
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 9. · Sarpsborg 08 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 11 10 1 0 +23 31
2 Brann 12 6 3 3 +9 21
3 Viking 11 6 2 3 +6 20
4 Tromso 10 6 2 2 +4 20
5 Lillestrom 10 5 2 3 +2 17
6 Molde 11 5 1 5 +8 16
7 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +1 15
8 Stabaek 10 4 3 3 -3 15
9 Rosenborg 11 3 4 4 -1 13
10 Odd 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Haugesund 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Stromsgodset 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -3 10
14 Sandefjord 10 2 3 5 -3 9
15 Ham-Kam 10 2 1 7 -16 7
16 Aalesund 11 1 1 9 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Per Ciljan Skjelbred 🟨
5′
5′
🟨 Eirik Wichne
22′
M. Maigaard 0–1
J. Andersen
24′
E. Wichne 0–2
R. Lundqvist
Half-time 0–2
S. Nypan 🔁
↦ O. Aga
46′
O. Sæter 🔁
↦ P. Skjelbred
46′
Ulrik Jenssen 🟨
47′
48′
K. Opseth 0–3
K. Ingason 🔁
↦ J. Nelson
59′
65′
🔁 S. Martinsson Ngouali
↦ A. Skipper
65′
🔁 S. Kvile
↦ V. Torp
M. Bjørlo 🔁
↦ O. Skarsem
72′
80′
🔁 P. Reinhardsen
↦ E. Wichne
81′
🔁 G. Mogensen
↦ C. Baah
81′
🔁 S. Tibbling
↦ K. Opseth
S. Rogers 🔁
↦ M. Henriksen
87′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan D
7 M. Henriksen D
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen D
20 E. Tagseth D
21 O. Skarsem M
6 S. Väänänen M
5 P. Skjelbred M
10 C. Holse F
29 O. Aga F
11 J. Nelson F
Bench (9)
41 S. Nypan
9 O. Sæter
80 K. Ingason
18 M. Bjørlo
15 S. Rogers
24 S. Tangvik
16 H. Røsten
32 L. Cornic
19 A. Pereira

Coach: K. Rekdal

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
32 E. Wichne D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
17 J. Soltvedt D
8 J. Andersen M
29 V. Torp M
90 C. Baah M
10 R. Lundqvist M
25 M. Maigaard M
22 K. Opseth F
Bench (9)
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali
3 S. Kvile
20 P. Reinhardsen
23 G. Mogensen
11 S. Tibbling
7 M. Andersen
72 S. Christiansen
6 M. Høyland
40 L. Øy

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.