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Serie A

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Udinese

T T T U S

4–1

Full-time

Palermo

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 22%

32%

11%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

54%

64%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Udinese 13. · Palermo 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	24	1	4	+40	73
2	Napoli	29	19	6	4	+36	63
3	Roma	28	20	2	6	+36	62
4	Lazio	29	17	6	6	+20	57
5	Inter	29	17	4	8	+24	55
6	Atalanta	29	17	4	8	+13	55
7	Milan	29	16	5	8	+10	53
8	Fiorentina	29	13	9	7	+9	48
9	Sampdoria	29	11	8	10	+1	41
10	Torino	29	10	10	9	+6	40
11	Chievo	29	11	5	13	-7	38
12	Bologna	29	9	7	13	-13	34
13	Udinese	28	9	6	13	-5	33
14	Cagliari	29	9	5	15	-22	32
15	Sassuolo	28	9	4	15	-8	31
16	Genoa	29	7	8	14	-13	29
17	Empoli	29	5	7	17	-29	22
18	Palermo	28	3	6	19	-33	15
19	Crotone	29	3	5	21	-28	14
20	Pescara	29	2	6	21	-37	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	15	0	0	+30	45
2	Roma	13	12	0	1	+27	36
3	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+17	33
4	Inter	14	10	2	2	+22	32
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+14	32
6	Milan	15	10	2	3	+9	32
7	Atalanta	14	10	1	3	+11	31
8	Torino	14	8	5	1	+15	29
9	Fiorentina	14	7	7	0	+9	28
10	Sampdoria	15	8	4	3	+8	28
11	Cagliari	14	7	3	4	-2	24
12	Chievo	15	6	4	5	+0	22
13	Bologna	15	6	2	7	-3	20
14	Genoa	14	4	6	4	+4	18
15	Udinese	14	5	3	6	+0	18
16	Sassuolo	14	5	1	8	-5	16
17	Empoli	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Crotone	15	3	3	9	-8	12
19	Pescara	14	1	4	9	-15	7
20	Palermo	14	1	2	11	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+19	30
2	Juventus	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Roma	15	8	2	5	+9	26
4	Lazio	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Atalanta	15	7	3	5	+2	24
6	Inter	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Milan	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Fiorentina	15	6	2	7	+0	20
9	Chievo	14	5	1	8	-7	16
10	Sassuolo	14	4	3	7	-3	15
11	Udinese	14	4	3	7	-5	15
12	Bologna	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Sampdoria	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Torino	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Genoa	15	3	2	10	-17	11
16	Palermo	14	2	4	8	-14	10
17	Cagliari	15	2	2	11	-20	8
18	Empoli	14	1	4	9	-17	7
19	Pescara	15	1	2	12	-22	5
20	Crotone	14	0	2	12	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.