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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
1–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 29%
18%
40%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 48%
35%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 18. · AZ Alkmaar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 17 13 3 1 +35 42
2 Ajax 17 11 4 2 +22 37
3 PSV Eindhoven 17 9 7 1 +17 34
4 Heerenveen 16 8 4 4 +12 28
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 7 2 +7 25
6 Utrecht 15 6 6 3 +5 24
7 Twente 17 6 6 5 +3 24
8 Vitesse 17 6 5 6 +2 23
9 Heracles 17 5 6 6 -4 21
10 Willem II 17 4 7 6 -7 19
11 Nijmegen 17 4 7 6 -10 19
12 Groningen 16 4 5 7 -4 17
13 Sparta Rotterdam 17 4 5 8 -7 17
14 Den Haag 17 5 2 10 -13 17
15 Excelsior 17 4 4 9 -9 16
16 Zwolle 17 3 5 9 -21 14
17 Roda 17 1 10 6 -13 13
18 Go Ahead Eagles 17 3 3 11 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles AZ Alkmaar
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 I. Bel Hassani
↦ R. Mühren
63′
🔁 D. dos Santos
↦ M. Tankovic
D. Maatsen 🔁
↦ L. de Kogel
66′
69′
W. Weghorst 0–1
A. Jahanbakhsh
D. Crowley 🔁
↦ M. Ritzmaier
76′
R. Wolters 🔁
↦ E. Manu
80′
Rochdi Achenteh 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Alireza Jahanbakhsh
81′
🟨 Wout Weghorst
85′
A. Jahanbakhsh 0–2
S. Wuytens
87′
🔁 F. Friday
↦ W. Weghorst
88′
🟨 Mattias Johansson
1–2 J. Antonia
89′
90′
🟨 Iliass Bel Hassani
93′
A. Jahanbakhsh 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
35 R. Achenteh M
17 S. Locigno D
4 X. Schenk D
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
29 Chirivella M
9 L. de Kogel F
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
Bench (10)
14 D. Maatsen
7 D. Crowley
11 R. Wolters
5 K. Teijsse
8 J. Suk
13 E. Cummins
19 S. Hendriks
22 H. Ojamaa
23 N. Nieveld
32 J. Groenbast

Coach: H. de Koning

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 S. Rochet G
2 M. Johansson D
5 R. Haps D
23 D. Luckassen D
30 S. Wuytens D
6 B. Rienstra M
20 M. Seuntjens F
11 M. Tankovic M
21 R. Mühren M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (8)
18 I. Bel Hassani
19 D. dos Santos
27 F. Friday
8 J. van Overeem
15 G. Til
22 T. Ouwejan
25 N. Olij
29 F. Lewis

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.