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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Ipswich
U U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Birmingham
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Championship · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 21%
10%
32%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
34%
49%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 24. · Birmingham 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 41 25 10 6 +34 85
2 Sheffield United 41 23 9 9 +30 78
3 Leeds 39 22 7 10 +21 73
4 West Brom 39 19 9 11 +20 66
5 Bristol City 40 18 11 11 +10 65
6 Aston Villa 38 16 14 8 +16 62
7 Middlesbrough 41 16 13 12 +7 61
8 Derby 37 16 12 9 +14 60
9 Hull 41 17 9 15 +3 60
10 Sheffield Weds 41 15 14 12 -2 59
11 Nott'm Forest 41 14 15 12 +5 57
12 Preston 41 15 12 14 +4 57
13 Swansea 40 16 8 16 +5 56
14 Brentford 41 14 12 15 +9 54
15 Birmingham 41 13 15 13 +4 54
16 Stoke 41 11 18 12 -6 51
17 Blackburn 41 13 11 17 -8 50
18 QPR 41 12 9 20 -19 45
19 Millwall 40 10 11 19 -13 41
20 Reading 41 9 14 18 -17 41
21 Wigan 41 10 11 20 -17 41
22 Rotherham 41 8 15 18 -26 39
23 Bolton 41 8 8 25 -39 32
24 Ipswich 41 4 15 22 -35 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Birmingham
7′
L. Jutkiewicz 0–1
M. Colin
Gwion Edwards 🟨
31′
James Collins 🟨
42′
Cole Skuse 🟨
44′
Luke Chambers 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
K. Jackson 🔁
↦ A. Dozzell
46′
1–1 G. Edwards
K. Jackson
46′
A. Nsiala 🔁
↦ J. Collins
60′
70′
🔁 C. Mahoney
↦ Jota Peleteiro
80′
🟨 David Davis
Aristote Nsiala 🟨
81′
91′
🔁 J. Maghoma
↦ K. Mrabti
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-3-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
39 J. Collins D
4 L. Chambers D
27 J. Emmanuel D
30 M. Kenlock M
8 C. Skuse M
31 A. Judge M
7 G. Edwards M
15 T. Bishop M
23 A. Dozzell M
45 C. Quaner F
Bench (7)
9 K. Jackson
22 A. Nsiala
42 I. El Mizouni
1 D. Gerken
41 J. Bree
6 T. Chalobah
21 F. Downes

Coach: P. Lambert

Birmingham

4-4-2
1 L. Camp G
28 M. Morrison D
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
3 K. Pedersen D
26 D. Davis M
20 G. Gardner M
23 Jota Peleteiro M
18 K. Mrabti F
9 Che Adams F
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
7 C. Mahoney
19 J. Maghoma
11 I. Vassell
8 C. Gardner
27 C. Trueman
45 W. Harding
4 M. Roberts

Coach: G. Monk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.