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Ligue 1

Referee: Frank Schneider

Toulouse

S U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Paris SG

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 5. · Paris SG 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Monaco	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Bordeaux	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Metz	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Angers	6	3	0	3	+0	9
12	Bastia	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Montpellier	6	1	3	2	-5	6
14	Caen	6	2	0	4	-8	6
15	Marseille	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Lille	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Lorient	6	1	0	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Rennes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Caen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
13	Marseille	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	Montpellier	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Dijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Lille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Lorient	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Metz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lille	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Marseille	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Caen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.