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Ligue 1

Referee: Sebastien Moreira

Bastia

T S S S U

0–0

Full-time

Nantes

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

39%

36%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

29%

36%

Both score Ø 36%

32%

39%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

5 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 11. · Nantes 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	29	23	5	1	+53	74
2	Monaco	29	13	12	4	+10	51
3	Lyon	29	13	6	10	+14	45
4	Nice	29	12	8	9	+8	44
5	Rennes	29	11	11	7	+6	44
6	Caen	29	13	4	12	-6	43
7	St Etienne	29	12	6	11	+1	42
8	Nantes	28	10	10	8	-1	40
9	Angers	29	10	9	10	+0	39
10	Lorient	29	9	11	9	-1	38
11	Bastia	28	11	5	12	-2	38
12	Bordeaux	29	9	11	9	-6	38
13	Marseille	28	8	13	7	+9	37
14	Lille	29	8	13	8	+0	37
15	Montpellier	29	10	6	13	+3	36
16	Reims	29	8	8	13	-9	32
17	Guingamp	29	8	8	13	-11	32
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	28	6	11	11	-10	29
19	Toulouse	29	4	11	14	-20	23
20	Troyes	29	2	8	19	-38	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	3	0	+32	36
2	Lyon	15	9	3	3	+18	30
3	Bastia	14	9	1	4	+9	28
4	Monaco	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Nice	15	8	2	5	+6	26
6	Bordeaux	15	7	5	3	+6	26
7	Lille	15	7	4	4	+6	25
8	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+5	24
9	Lorient	14	6	5	3	+7	23
10	Nantes	14	6	5	3	+3	23
11	Caen	15	7	2	6	-5	23
12	Angers	15	5	7	3	+3	22
13	Montpellier	15	7	0	8	+2	21
14	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+4	20
15	Reims	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Rennes	14	5	5	4	+2	20
17	Marseille	15	2	9	4	+5	15
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	6	4	-3	15
19	Toulouse	14	2	7	5	-2	13
20	Troyes	14	0	6	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	12	2	1	+21	38
2	Monaco	15	6	7	2	+2	25
3	Rennes	15	6	6	3	+4	24
4	Marseille	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Caen	14	6	2	6	-1	20
6	Nice	14	4	6	4	+2	18
7	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-4	18
8	Angers	14	5	2	7	-3	17
9	Nantes	14	4	5	5	-4	17
10	Montpellier	14	3	6	5	+1	15
11	Lyon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
12	Lorient	15	3	6	6	-8	15
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	15	3	5	7	-7	14
14	Lille	14	1	9	4	-6	12
15	Bordeaux	14	2	6	6	-12	12
16	Reims	14	3	3	8	-12	12
17	Guingamp	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Toulouse	15	2	4	9	-18	10
20	Troyes	15	2	2	11	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.