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Serie A
Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua
Atalanta
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Benevento
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,8
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 16%
31%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
54%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,4
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-2,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 12. · Benevento 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 14 12 2 0 +26 38
2 Inter 14 11 3 0 +18 36
3 Juventus 14 11 1 2 +26 34
4 Roma 13 10 1 2 +15 31
5 Lazio 13 9 2 2 +18 29
6 Sampdoria 13 8 2 3 +9 26
7 Milan 14 6 2 6 +1 20
8 Bologna 14 6 2 6 +0 20
9 Chievo 14 5 5 4 -4 20
10 Torino 14 4 7 3 -2 19
11 Fiorentina 14 5 3 6 +4 18
12 Atalanta 13 4 4 5 +1 16
13 Cagliari 14 5 0 9 -11 15
14 Udinese 13 4 0 9 -6 12
15 Crotone 14 3 3 8 -16 12
16 Sassuolo 14 3 2 9 -16 11
17 Genoa 14 2 4 8 -8 10
18 Spal 14 2 4 8 -11 10
19 Verona 14 2 3 9 -17 9
20 Benevento 13 0 0 13 -27 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Benevento
14′
🟨 Andrea Costa
42′
🟨 Lorenzo Venuti
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ S. Armenteros
Marten de Roon 🟨
51′
J. Iličić 🔁
↦ Rafael Tolói
52′
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
60′
66′
🔁 M. Kanoute
↦ M. DAlessandro
1–0 B. Cristante
J. Iličić
75′
80′
🔁 L. Memushaj
↦ R. Chibsah
J. Palomino 🔁
↦ A. Gómez
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 E. Berisha G
5 A. Masiello D
3 Rafael Tolói D
21 T. Castagne M
33 H. Hateboer M
13 M. Caldara D
10 A. Gómez F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
4 B. Cristante M
9 A. Cornelius F
Bench (12)
72 J. Iličić
29 A. Petagna
6 J. Palomino
7 R. Orsolini
8 R. Gosens
20 L. Vido
27 J. Kurtič
28 G. Mancini
31 F. Rossi
32 N. Haas
88 João Schmidt
91 P. Gollini

Coach: G. Gasperini

Benevento

4-3-3
22 A. Brignoli G
21 A. Costa D
17 G. Di Chiara D
6 B. Djimsiti D
23 L. Venuti D
7 M. D'Alessandro M
4 L. Del Pinto M
13 R. Chibsah M
8 D. Cataldi M
90 S. Armenteros F
87 C. Lombardi F
Bench (11)
32 G. Puşcaş
24 M. Kanoute
20 L. Memushaj
1 V. Belec
11 M. Coda
14 N. Viola
18 B. Gyamfi
88 L. Antei
95 A. Gravillon
98 A. Donnarumma
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fabrizio Pasqua · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.