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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Pescara
U U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Atalanta
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pescara Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
11%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pescara 17. · Atalanta 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 7 0 2 +11 21
2 Roma 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Milan 10 6 1 3 +2 19
4 Napoli 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Torino 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 Genoa 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Chievo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Atalanta 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Sassuolo 9 4 1 4 -2 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 -3 13
12 Fiorentina 8 3 3 2 +2 12
13 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -3 12
14 Inter 9 3 2 4 -1 11
15 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Empoli 9 1 3 5 -9 6
19 Palermo 9 1 3 5 -10 6
20 Crotone 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pescara Atalanta
19′
🟨 Andrea Conti
27′
🟨 Abdoulay Konko
Gastón Brugman 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ A. Gómez
B. Cristante 🔁
↦ L. Memushaj
58′
60′
M. Caldara 0–1
R. Freuler
S. Pepe 🔁
↦ G. Brugman
65′
Hugo Campagnaro 🟨
69′
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 A. Masiello
↦ A. Conti
A. Mitriță 🔁
↦ C. Biraghi
77′
83′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ F. Kessié
84′
🟨 Roberto Gagliardini
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pescara

4-1-4-1
31 A. Bizzarri G
14 H. Campagnaro D
2 A. Crescenzi D
3 C. Biraghi D
11 F. Zampano M
44 M. Fornasier D
20 A. Aquilani M
8 L. Memushaj M
16 G. Brugman M
17 G. Caprari F
9 R. Manaj F
Bench (11)
6 B. Cristante
21 S. Pepe
28 A. Mitriță
1 V. Fiorillo
5 A. Bruno
10 Ahmed Benali
12 G. Aldegani
13 D. Župarić
27 S. Pettinari
30 R. Murić
35 A. Coda

Coach: M. Oddo

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 E. Berisha G
93 B. Dramé D
25 A. Konko D
6 E. Zukanović D
24 A. Conti M
13 M. Caldara D
10 A. Gómez F
11 R. Freuler M
27 J. Kurtič M
19 F. Kessié M
43 A. Paloschi F
Bench (12)
7 M. D'Alessandro
5 A. Masiello
4 R. Gagliardini
2 G. Stendardo
8 G. Migliaccio
29 A. Petagna
37 L. Spinazzola
51 M. Pinilla
52 B. Cabezas
57 M. Sportiello
77 C. Raimondi
88 A. Grassi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.