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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Guingamp
T U U S S
4–0
Full-time
Troyes
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 17%
30%
4%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 44%
39%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
7 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 14. · Troyes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 23 20 3 0 +48 63
2 Monaco 24 11 9 4 +7 42
3 Angers 23 10 7 6 +6 37
4 Nice 23 10 6 7 +9 36
5 Caen 23 11 3 9 -2 36
6 Marseille 24 8 10 6 +10 34
7 Rennes 23 8 10 5 +3 34
8 Bordeaux 23 8 9 6 +1 33
9 St Etienne 23 10 3 10 -2 33
10 Nantes 23 8 8 7 -1 32
11 Lyon 23 8 6 9 +1 30
12 Lorient 23 7 9 7 +0 30
13 Bastia 24 8 4 12 -7 28
14 Guingamp 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Lille 23 5 11 7 -1 26
16 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 23 6 8 9 -7 26
17 Montpellier 24 7 4 13 -3 25
18 Reims 23 5 8 10 -9 23
19 Toulouse 23 4 8 11 -16 20
20 Troyes 23 1 8 14 -29 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -15 Troyes – Guingamp 0–1

Match report

Guingamp Troyes
1–0 M. Erdinç
J. Martins-Pereira
5′
18′
🟨 Mouhamadou Dabo
28′
🟨 Charles Traoré
Christophe Kerbrat 🟨
30′
32′
🟨 Thiago Xavier
L. Jacobsen 🔁
↦ J. Martins-Pereira
40′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Y. Sankhare
J. Briand
46′
3–0 T. Giresse
J. Briand
56′
57′
🔁 S. Darbion
↦ M. Dabo
64′
🔁 B. Nivet
↦ Thiago Xavier
J. Cardy 🔁
↦ M. Erdinç
72′
76′
🔁 Y. Court
↦ B. Gueye
L. Blas 🔁
↦ Y. Salibur
79′
4–0 L. Blas
J. Briand
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

1 J. Lössl G
22 J. Martins-Pereira D
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
7 D. Lévêque D
18 L. Mathis M
13 Y. Sankhare M
26 T. Giresse M
19 Y. Salibur M
23 J. Briand F
28 M. Erdinç F
Bench (7)
2 L. Jacobsen
8 J. Cardy
21 L. Blas
4 B. Angoua
11 S. Privat
16 T. Guivarch
20 L. Dos Santos

Troyes

1 M. Dreyer G
35 M. Dabo D
32 D. Veškovac D
31 A. Ngcongca
28 C. Traoré D
14 Thiago Xavier M
24 L. Karaboué M
19 K. Azamoum M
33 A. Confais M
27 C. Jean F
9 B. Gueye F
Bench (7)
8 S. Darbion
10 B. Nivet
7 Y. Court
3 C. Mavinga
16 F. Grandel
23 F. Camus
25 J. Pi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.