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Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Preston
S T T T T
4–0
Full-time
Ipswich
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Championship · 42/42 matches
Win Ø 23%
36%
10%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
17 Shots 18
10 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 12. · Ipswich 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 42 25 11 6 +34 86
2 Sheffield United 43 24 10 9 +32 82
3 Leeds 40 23 7 10 +22 76
4 West Brom 40 20 9 11 +23 69
5 Bristol City 42 18 12 12 +9 66
6 Aston Villa 39 17 14 8 +17 65
7 Middlesbrough 42 17 13 12 +8 64
8 Derby 38 17 12 9 +18 63
9 Hull 42 17 9 16 +2 60
10 Sheffield Weds 42 15 14 13 -3 59
11 Nott'm Forest 43 14 15 14 +2 57
12 Preston 42 15 12 15 +1 57
13 Swansea 41 16 8 17 +1 56
14 Brentford 43 14 13 16 +8 55
15 Birmingham 42 13 16 13 +4 55
16 Blackburn 42 14 11 17 -7 53
17 Stoke 42 11 19 12 -6 52
18 QPR 42 13 9 20 -15 48
19 Reading 43 10 15 18 -16 45
20 Millwall 42 10 13 19 -13 43
21 Wigan 42 10 12 20 -17 42
22 Rotherham 42 8 16 18 -26 40
23 Bolton 42 8 8 26 -43 32
24 Ipswich 42 4 16 22 -35 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Ipswich
1–0 C. Robinson
R. Ledson
6′
2–0 C. Robinson
22′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Bree
↦ J. Emmanuel
3–0 L. Nmecha
56′
59′
🔁 W. Keane
↦ I. El Mizouni
L. Moult 🔁
↦ P. Gallagher
70′
J. Ginnelly 🔁
↦ S. Maguire
74′
4–0 L. Nmecha
C. Robinson
75′
J. Stockley 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
76′
76′
🔁 T. Chalobah
↦ T. Bishop
78′
🟨 Myles Kenlock
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
2 D. Fisher D
15 J. Rafferty D
6 B. Davies D
14 J. Storey D
12 P. Gallagher M
11 D. Johnson M
18 R. Ledson M
24 S. Maguire F
7 C. Robinson M
45 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
9 L. Moult
17 J. Ginnelly
20 J. Stockley
3 J. Earl
32 A. O'Reilly
13 M. Crowe
23 P. Huntington

Coach: A. Neil

Ipswich

4-3-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
22 A. Nsiala D
27 J. Emmanuel D
30 M. Kenlock M
42 I. El Mizouni
8 C. Skuse M
31 A. Judge M
15 T. Bishop M
21 F. Downes M
9 K. Jackson F
Bench (7)
41 J. Bree
14 W. Keane
6 T. Chalobah
1 D. Gerken
23 A. Dozzell
47 C. Ndaba
11 J. Nolan

Coach: P. Lambert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.