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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
QPR
U T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Blackburn
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Championship · 42/42 matches
Win Ø 32%
31%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 51%
45%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 18. · Blackburn 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 42 25 11 6 +34 86
2 Sheffield United 43 24 10 9 +32 82
3 Leeds 40 23 7 10 +22 76
4 West Brom 40 20 9 11 +23 69
5 Bristol City 42 18 12 12 +9 66
6 Aston Villa 39 17 14 8 +17 65
7 Middlesbrough 42 17 13 12 +8 64
8 Derby 38 17 12 9 +18 63
9 Hull 42 17 9 16 +2 60
10 Sheffield Weds 42 15 14 13 -3 59
11 Nott'm Forest 43 14 15 14 +2 57
12 Preston 42 15 12 15 +1 57
13 Swansea 41 16 8 17 +1 56
14 Brentford 43 14 13 16 +8 55
15 Birmingham 42 13 16 13 +4 55
16 Blackburn 42 14 11 17 -7 53
17 Stoke 42 11 19 12 -6 52
18 QPR 42 13 9 20 -15 48
19 Reading 43 10 15 18 -16 45
20 Millwall 42 10 13 19 -13 43
21 Wigan 42 10 12 20 -17 42
22 Rotherham 42 8 16 18 -26 40
23 Bolton 42 8 8 26 -43 32
24 Ipswich 42 4 16 22 -35 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Blackburn
22′
D. Graham 0–1
31′
🟨 Bradley Dack
Half-time 0–2
46′
B. Dack 0–2
N. Wells 🔁
↦ J. Cousins
52′
Massimo Luongo 🟨
59′
M. Smith 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
64′
65′
🔁 J. Rodwell
↦ C. Evans
68′
🔁 J. Nuttall
↦ D. Graham
E. Eze 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
74′
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
81′
83′
🟨 Jack Rodwell
86′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ A. Armstrong
Nahki Wells 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jayson Leutwiler
1–2 M. Smith
L. Freeman
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

QPR

4-1-4-1
13 J. Lumley G
33 J. Lynch D
2 D. Furlong D
23 P. Wszołek M
8 J. Cousins M
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
14 R. Manning M
20 B. Osayi-Samuel M
16 T. Hemed F
7 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
32 N. Wells
17 M. Smith
10 E. Eze
5 G. Cameron
34 L. Walker
35 C. Tilt
1 M. Ingram

Coach: J. Eustace

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
13 J. Leutwiler G
26 D. Lenihan D
3 D. Williams D
17 A. Bell D
27 L. Travis M
31 E. Bennett M
29 C. Evans M
8 J. Rothwell M
23 B. Dack M
10 D. Graham F
7 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
5 J. Rodwell
24 J. Nuttall
19 B. Brereton
2 R. Nyambe
6 R. Smallwood
14 C. Mulgrew
1 David Raya

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.