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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Willem II
T S T S T
0–3
Full-time
Den Haag
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
2,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 11. · Den Haag 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 0 1 +46 42
2 Ajax 15 13 1 1 +42 40
3 Feyenoord 15 11 2 2 +17 35
4 Heracles 14 7 2 5 +1 23
5 Utrecht 13 6 4 3 +7 22
6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 4 5 +5 22
7 Heerenveen 15 5 5 5 +0 20
8 VVV Venlo 15 5 5 5 -4 20
9 Vitesse 13 4 4 5 +0 16
10 For Sittard 15 4 4 7 -3 16
11 Willem II 15 4 4 7 -7 16
12 Den Haag 15 4 4 7 -14 16
13 Excelsior 15 4 4 7 -18 16
14 Groningen 14 4 2 8 -5 14
15 Zwolle 15 4 2 9 -11 14
16 FC Emmen 15 3 5 7 -16 14
17 NAC Breda 15 3 2 10 -19 11
18 De Graafschap 15 3 2 10 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.