Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Willem II
Den Haag
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | +46 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +42 | 40 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 35 |
| 4 |
Heracles
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 23 |
| 5 |
Utrecht
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 20 |
| 8 |
VVV Venlo
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |
Vitesse
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | +0 | 16 |
| 10 |
For Sittard
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |
Willem II
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 12 |
Den Haag
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 13 |
Excelsior
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -18 | 16 |
| 14 |
Groningen
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |
Zwolle
|
15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 |
FC Emmen
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -16 | 14 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 |
De Graafschap
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Willem II
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
Willem II
Vitesse
Zwolle
Willem II
Ajax
Willem II
Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.