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Premier League
Referee: Neil Swarbrick
Man United
S S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Everton
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 28/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
50%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Man United 5. · Everton 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 29 22 3 4 +37 69
2 Tottenham 29 18 8 3 +36 62
3 Liverpool 30 17 8 5 +27 59
4 Man City 29 17 7 5 +24 58
5 Man United 28 14 11 3 +19 53
6 Arsenal 28 15 6 7 +22 51
7 Everton 30 14 8 8 +19 50
8 West Brom 31 12 8 11 -1 44
9 Watford 30 10 7 13 -12 37
10 Leicester 30 10 6 14 -10 36
11 Stoke 31 9 9 13 -12 36
12 Burnley 31 10 5 16 -12 35
13 Southampton 28 9 7 12 -3 34
14 Bournemouth 30 9 7 14 -12 34
15 West Ham 30 9 6 15 -13 33
16 Crystal Palace 29 9 4 16 -9 31
17 Swansea 30 8 4 18 -27 28
18 Hull 30 7 6 17 -31 27
19 Middlesbrough 29 4 11 14 -13 23
20 Sunderland 30 5 5 20 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man United Everton
22′
P. Jagielka 0–1
A. Williams
45′
🟨 Idrissa Gueye
Half-time 0–1
P. Pogba 🔁
↦ D. Blind
46′
54′
🟨 Gareth Barry
Ashley Young 🟨
57′
L. Shaw 🔁
↦ A. Young
65′
H. Mkhitaryan 🔁
↦ M. Carrick
65′
67′
🔁 M. Pennington
↦ K. Mirallas
80′
🔁 D. Calvert-Lewin
↦ R. Barkley
88′
🟨 Tom Davies
90′
🟨 Joel Robles
90′
🟥 Ashley Williams
1–1 Z. Ibrahimović
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-3-3
1 David de Gea G
5 M. Rojo D
3 E. Bailly D
16 M. Carrick M
18 A. Young D
27 M. Fellaini M
17 D. Blind D
21 Ander Herrera M
14 J. Lingard F
9 Z. Ibrahimović F
19 M. Rashford F
Bench (7)
6 P. Pogba
23 L. Shaw
22 H. Mkhitaryan
11 A. Martial
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
36 M. Darmian
20 S. Romero

Coach: José Mourinho

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
6 P. Jagielka D
3 L. Baines D
5 A. Williams D
30 M. Holgate D
18 G. Barry M
17 I. Gueye M
8 R. Barkley M
26 T. Davies M
11 K. Mirallas M
10 R. Lukaku F
Bench (7)
38 M. Pennington
29 D. Calvert-Lewin
19 E. Valencia
43 J. Kenny
46 J. Williams
31 A. Lookman
22 M. Stekelenburg

Coach: R. Koeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Neil Swarbrick · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.