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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Velasco Carballo

Ath Bilbao

S S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Granada

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 35%

47%

23%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

60%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

47%

60%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

13 Corners 1

6 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Granada 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	31	24	4	3	+61	76
2	Ath Madrid	31	22	4	5	+36	70
3	Real Madrid	31	21	6	4	+60	69
4	Villarreal	30	15	9	6	+12	54
5	Celta	31	14	7	10	-8	49
6	Sevilla	30	13	9	8	+8	48
7	Ath Bilbao	30	14	5	11	+9	47
8	Malaga	30	10	9	11	+1	39
9	Eibar	30	10	8	12	+0	38
10	La Coruna	31	7	16	8	-4	37
11	Las Palmas	31	10	6	15	-9	36
12	Sociedad	30	9	8	13	-4	35
13	Espanol	30	10	5	15	-25	35
14	Valencia	31	8	10	13	-4	34
15	Betis	31	8	10	13	-17	34
16	Vallecano	31	7	10	14	-20	31
17	Granada	30	7	7	16	-24	28
18	Getafe	31	7	7	17	-26	28
19	Sp Gijon	30	7	6	17	-20	27
20	Levante	30	6	6	18	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	1	1	+43	43
2	Real Madrid	16	13	1	2	+46	40
3	Sevilla	15	13	0	2	+19	39
4	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+19	36
5	Villarreal	16	11	3	2	+14	36
6	Ath Bilbao	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Celta	16	7	5	4	+2	26
8	Espanol	15	7	4	4	-7	25
9	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Las Palmas	16	7	3	6	+4	24
11	Getafe	16	6	5	5	+7	23
12	Malaga	14	6	4	4	+7	22
13	Vallecano	16	6	4	6	-2	22
14	La Coruna	15	4	8	3	+5	20
15	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+2	20
16	Valencia	15	4	7	4	+0	19
17	Levante	15	5	3	7	-5	18
18	Sp Gijon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
19	Granada	15	4	4	7	-7	16
20	Betis	15	3	6	6	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	11	1	4	+17	34
2	Barcelona	15	10	3	2	+18	33
3	Real Madrid	15	8	5	2	+14	29
4	Celta	15	7	2	6	-10	23
5	Ath Bilbao	16	6	2	8	-6	20
6	Betis	16	5	4	7	-10	19
7	Villarreal	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	Malaga	16	4	5	7	-6	17
9	La Coruna	16	3	8	5	-9	17
10	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-4	15
11	Sociedad	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
13	Las Palmas	15	3	3	9	-13	12
14	Granada	15	3	3	9	-17	12
15	Sp Gijon	15	3	2	10	-16	11
16	Espanol	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Sevilla	15	0	9	6	-11	9
18	Vallecano	15	1	6	8	-18	9
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-21	6
20	Getafe	15	1	2	12	-33	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.