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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
Schalke 04
T S U T U
1–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 14. · Leverkusen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 16 12 3 1 +25 39
2 M'gladbach 16 10 3 3 +19 33
3 Bayern Munich 15 9 3 3 +14 30
4 RB Leipzig 15 8 4 3 +14 28
5 Ein Frankfurt 15 8 2 5 +14 26
6 Wolfsburg 16 7 4 5 +4 25
7 Hertha 16 6 6 4 +1 24
8 Hoffenheim 15 6 5 4 +9 23
9 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 +0 21
10 Mainz 15 5 4 6 -5 19
11 Leverkusen 15 5 3 7 -6 18
12 Freiburg 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Augsburg 16 3 6 7 -3 15
14 Schalke 04 15 4 3 8 -5 15
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 4 3 9 -15 15
16 Stuttgart 16 4 2 10 -21 14
17 Nurnberg 16 2 5 9 -23 11
18 Hannover 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Leverkusen
26′
A. Dragović 0–1
Amine Harit 🟨
31′
35′
L. Alario 0–2
Wendell
Half-time 1–2
1–2 H. Wright
W. McKennie
47′
Benjamin Stambouli 🟨
53′
S. Serdar 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
54′
S. Skrzybski 🔁
↦ H. Wright
54′
Suat Serdar 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 T. Jedvaj
↦ A. Dragović
63′
🟨 Karim Bellarabi
66′
🟨 Julian Baumgartlinger
68′
🟨 Lukáš Hrádecký
70′
🔁 K. Volland
↦ L. Alario
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ A. Schöpf
71′
Weston McKennie 🟨
81′
89′
🔁 S. Bender
↦ K. Bellarabi
90′
🟨 Mitchell Weiser
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
18 D. Caligiuri M
10 N. Bentaleb M
28 A. Schöpf M
25 A. Harit M
2 W. McKennie M
40 H. Wright F
Bench (7)
8 S. Serdar
22 S. Skrzybski
11 Y. Konoplyanka
6 Omar Mascarell
15 A. Kutucu
29 Naldo
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
6 A. Dragović D
23 M. Weiser D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
38 K. Bellarabi M
21 D. Kohr M
29 K. Havertz M
13 L. Alario F
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
16 T. Jedvaj
31 K. Volland
5 S. Bender
10 J. Brandt
11 I. Thelin
20 C. Aránguiz
28 R. Özcan

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.