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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Bayern Munich

T U S S S

1–0

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 57%

60%

53%

Points per game

2,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

73%

53%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bayern Munich 3. · RB Leipzig 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	16	12	3	1	+25	39
2	M'gladbach	16	10	3	3	+19	33
3	Bayern Munich	15	9	3	3	+14	30
4	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+14	28
5	Ein Frankfurt	15	8	2	5	+14	26
6	Wolfsburg	16	7	4	5	+4	25
7	Hertha	16	6	6	4	+1	24
8	Hoffenheim	15	6	5	4	+9	23
9	Werder Bremen	15	6	3	6	+0	21
10	Leverkusen	16	6	3	7	-5	21
11	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Freiburg	15	4	5	6	-5	17
13	Augsburg	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	Schalke 04	16	4	3	9	-6	15
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	4	3	9	-15	15
16	Stuttgart	16	4	2	10	-21	14
17	Nurnberg	16	2	5	9	-23	11
18	Hannover	15	2	4	9	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	8	8	0	0	+20	24
2	Dortmund	8	7	1	0	+17	22
3	RB Leipzig	8	6	2	0	+17	20
4	Hertha	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	1	2	+11	13
6	Hoffenheim	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	Bayern Munich	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Freiburg	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Mainz	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Wolfsburg	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	0	5	-1	12
12	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Stuttgart	7	3	1	3	-7	10
15	Nurnberg	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Schalke 04	8	3	0	5	-2	9
17	Augsburg	7	1	4	2	+0	7
18	Hannover	7	2	1	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	0	2	+10	18
2	Dortmund	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Wolfsburg	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Leverkusen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
7	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	M'gladbach	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-2	9
10	Augsburg	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	RB Leipzig	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Mainz	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Schalke 04	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	Freiburg	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Stuttgart	9	1	1	7	-14	4
16	Hannover	8	0	3	5	-11	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	0	3	4	-14	3
18	Nurnberg	8	0	2	6	-22	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.