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Championship
Referee: John Brooks
Millwall
T T S T S
0–0
Full-time
QPR
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Championship · 39/40 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
49%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 20. · QPR 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 40 25 9 6 +34 84
2 Sheffield United 40 23 8 9 +30 77
3 Leeds 39 22 7 10 +21 73
4 West Brom 39 19 9 11 +20 66
5 Bristol City 40 18 11 11 +10 65
6 Middlesbrough 41 16 13 12 +7 61
7 Derby 37 16 12 9 +14 60
8 Aston Villa 37 15 14 8 +15 59
9 Sheffield Weds 41 15 14 12 -2 59
10 Nott'm Forest 41 14 15 12 +5 57
11 Preston 41 15 12 14 +4 57
12 Hull 40 16 9 15 +2 57
13 Swansea 40 16 8 16 +5 56
14 Birmingham 40 13 14 13 +4 53
15 Brentford 40 13 12 15 +7 51
16 Stoke 41 11 18 12 -6 51
17 Blackburn 41 13 11 17 -8 50
18 QPR 40 12 8 20 -19 44
19 Wigan 40 10 11 19 -16 41
20 Millwall 39 10 10 19 -13 40
21 Reading 40 9 13 18 -17 40
22 Rotherham 40 8 15 17 -25 39
23 Bolton 41 8 8 25 -39 32
24 Ipswich 40 4 15 21 -33 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall QPR
Ben Marshall 🟨
14′
24′
🟨 Joel Lynch
Ryan Tunnicliffe 🟨
30′
33′
🟨 Ryan Manning
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Massimo Luongo
62′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ N. Wells
A. O'Brien 🔁
↦ B. Marshall
78′
S. Morison 🔁
↦ R. Tunnicliffe
83′
91′
🔁 P. Wszołek
↦ L. Freeman
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Millwall

4-4-1-1
16 D. Martin G
3 J. Meredith D
15 A. Pearce D
12 M. Romeo D
5 J. Cooper D
44 B. Marshall M
28 R. Leonard M
7 J. Wallace M
18 R. Tunnicliffe M
8 B. Thompson M
9 L. Gregory F
Bench (7)
22 A. O'Brien
20 S. Morison
26 J. Skalák
13 B. Amos
6 S. Williams
2 C. McLaughlin
19 T. Elliott

Coach: N. Harris

QPR

4-4-2
13 J. Lumley G
5 G. Cameron M
33 J. Lynch D
37 T. Leistner D
2 D. Furlong D
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
14 R. Manning M
7 L. Freeman M
32 N. Wells F
17 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
20 B. Osayi-Samuel
23 P. Wszołek
16 T. Hemed
8 J. Cousins
1 M. Ingram
10 E. Eze
34 L. Walker

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.