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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Reading
T U T T U
1–2
Full-time
Derby
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Feb -18 Reading – Derby 3–3 4. Nov -17 Derby – Reading 2–4 21. Jan -17 Derby – Reading 3–2 1. Oct -16 Reading – Derby 1–1 12. Jan -16 Derby – Reading 1–1

Match report

Reading Derby
22′
🟨 Andre Wisdom
David Meyler 🟨
37′
Liam Kelly 🟨
38′
43′
🟨 Craig Bryson
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Max Lowe
1–0 J. Böðvarsson ⚽
M. Barrow
52′
60′
⚽ M. Mount 1–1
C. Bryson
S. Baldock 🔁
↦ J. Swift
67′
69′
🔁 B. Johnson
↦ J. Ledley
73′
🔁 M. Bennett
↦ D. Nugent
Y. Meïté 🔁
↦ J. Böðvarsson
75′
L. Bacuna 🔁
↦ D. Meyler
85′
Yakou Meite 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Bradley Johnson
94′
⚽ T. Lawrence 1–2
M. Bennett
96′
🔁 A. Pearce
↦ T. Lawrence
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Reading

4-2-3-1
1 V. Mannone G
5 P. McShane D
20 Tiago Ilori D
27 O. Richards D
14 S. Aluko M
8 D. Meyler M
3 A. Yiadom D
10 J. Swift M
38 L. Kelly M
23 J. Böðvarsson F
17 M. Barrow M
Bench (7)
9 S. Baldock
21 Y. Meïté
7 L. Bacuna
4 J. O'Shea
22 P. Clement
28 S. Walker
29 M. McNulty

Coach: P. Clement

Derby

4-3-3
1 S. Carson G
33 C. Davies D
6 R. Keogh D
2 A. Wisdom D
25 M. Lowe D
4 C. Bryson M
36 J. Ledley M
10 T. Lawrence M
7 H. Wilson M
8 M. Mount M
28 D. Nugent F
Bench (7)
15 B. Johnson
20 M. Bennett
16 A. Pearce
11 F. Jozefzoon
21 K. Roos
37 J. Bogle
38 L. Thomas

Coach: F. Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.