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Championship
Referee: David Webb
Barnsley
U T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Bristol City
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Championship · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 30%
18%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
23 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 21. · Bristol City 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 38 25 7 6 +36 82
2 Cardiff 37 23 7 7 +27 76
3 Fulham 35 18 11 6 +25 65
4 Aston Villa 35 18 8 9 +22 62
5 Derby 35 16 13 6 +22 61
6 Middlesbrough 36 18 7 11 +19 61
7 Bristol City 38 16 13 9 +12 61
8 Millwall 39 16 13 10 +11 61
9 Preston 38 15 15 8 +11 60
10 Sheffield United 38 18 6 14 +8 60
11 Brentford 38 14 12 12 +8 54
12 Ipswich 38 15 7 16 -1 52
13 Norwich 38 13 13 12 -3 52
14 Leeds 38 14 8 16 -3 50
15 QPR 38 12 11 15 -10 47
16 Nott'm Forest 39 13 7 19 -13 46
17 Sheffield Weds 38 9 14 15 -11 41
18 Hull 38 9 12 17 -6 39
19 Bolton 38 9 12 17 -23 39
20 Reading 38 8 12 18 -13 36
21 Barnsley 38 7 12 19 -19 33
22 Birmingham 38 9 6 23 -29 33
23 Burton Albion 38 7 9 22 -40 30
24 Sunderland 38 5 13 20 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.