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Championship
Referee: Paul Tierney
Newcastle
T T S S S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Championship · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 61%
73%
48%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Newcastle 1. · Sheffield Weds 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 22 16 1 5 +28 49
2 Brighton 22 14 6 2 +21 48
3 Reading 22 13 4 5 +8 43
4 Huddersfield 22 13 3 6 +2 42
5 Leeds 23 13 2 8 +7 41
6 Derby 22 10 6 6 +8 36
7 Barnsley 23 10 4 9 +5 34
8 Aston Villa 23 8 10 5 +3 34
9 Sheffield Weds 21 10 4 7 +2 34
10 Birmingham 22 9 7 6 -2 34
11 Fulham 22 8 9 5 +7 33
12 Norwich 23 10 3 10 +1 33
13 Preston 23 9 5 9 +0 32
14 Brentford 23 8 5 10 -1 29
15 Wolves 23 7 7 9 -1 28
16 Ipswich 23 7 7 9 -4 28
17 Bristol City 23 8 3 12 +0 27
18 Nott'm Forest 23 7 5 11 -5 26
19 Cardiff 23 6 6 11 -12 24
20 QPR 22 6 5 11 -11 23
21 Burton Albion 23 5 7 11 -8 22
22 Blackburn 23 5 5 13 -12 20
23 Wigan 23 4 6 13 -10 18
24 Rotherham 23 3 4 16 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle Sheffield Weds
30′
🟨 Barry Bannan
35′
🟨 Daniel Pudil
Half-time 0–0
Isaac Hayden 🟨
52′
53′
G. Loovens 0–1
F. Forestieri
C. Atsu 🔁
↦ Y. Gouffran
62′
Ayoze Pérez 🔁
↦ M. Diamé
69′
70′
🟨 Adam Reach
76′
🟨 Sam Hutchinson
77′
🔁 Lucas João
↦ F. Forestieri
A. Mitrović 🔁
↦ J. Colback
80′
81′
🔁 D. Jones
↦ B. Bannan
85′
🟨 Ross Wallace
90′
🟨 Liam Palmer
94′
🔁 A. Nuhiu
↦ R. Wallace
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-4-1-1
26 K. Darlow G
2 C. Clark D
6 J. Lascelles D
3 P. Dummett D
14 I. Hayden M
20 Y. Gouffran M
8 V. Anita M
4 J. Colback M
15 M. Diamé M
11 M. Ritchie M
9 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
30 C. Atsu
17 Ayoze Pérez
45 A. Mitrović
7 A. Lazaar
18 C. Mbemba
22 D. Yedlin
28 M. Sels

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
12 G. Loovens D
23 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
9 A. Reach M
33 R. Wallace M
41 B. Bannan M
16 L. Palmer D
6 S. Fletcher F
45 F. Forestieri F
Bench (7)
19 Lucas João
3 D. Jones
44 A. Nuhiu
2 J. Wildsmith
7 A. Abdi
32 J. Hunt
39 V. Sasso

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.