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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Man United
U U S S S
3–1
Full-time
Sunderland
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
24%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
59%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
26 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man United 6. · Sunderland 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 17 14 1 2 +24 43
2 Liverpool 17 11 4 2 +21 37
3 Man City 17 11 3 3 +16 36
4 Arsenal 17 10 4 3 +19 34
5 Tottenham 17 9 6 2 +17 33
6 Man United 17 8 6 3 +7 30
7 Southampton 17 6 6 5 +1 24
8 West Brom 17 6 5 6 +2 23
9 Everton 17 6 5 6 +0 23
10 Watford 18 6 4 8 -8 22
11 Bournemouth 17 6 3 8 -5 21
12 Stoke 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 West Ham 17 5 4 8 -12 19
14 Middlesbrough 17 4 6 7 -3 18
15 Leicester 17 4 5 8 -6 17
16 Burnley 17 5 2 10 -12 17
17 Crystal Palace 18 4 4 10 -4 16
18 Sunderland 17 4 2 11 -13 14
19 Swansea 17 3 3 11 -17 12
20 Hull 17 3 3 11 -22 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.