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Championship
Referee: David Coote
Rotherham
T T S T T
3–2
Full-time
Wigan
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 14%
9%
18%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
77%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

38% Possession 62%
18 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 8
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 24. · Wigan 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 22 16 1 5 +28 49
2 Brighton 22 14 6 2 +21 48
3 Reading 21 12 4 5 +6 40
4 Huddersfield 21 12 3 6 +1 39
5 Leeds 22 12 2 8 +4 38
6 Derby 22 10 6 6 +8 36
7 Sheffield Weds 21 10 4 7 +2 34
8 Birmingham 22 9 7 6 -2 34
9 Norwich 22 10 3 9 +3 33
10 Preston 22 9 5 8 +3 32
11 Barnsley 22 9 4 9 +3 31
12 Aston Villa 22 7 10 5 +2 31
13 Fulham 21 7 9 5 +5 30
14 Brentford 23 8 5 10 -1 29
15 Ipswich 22 7 7 8 -2 28
16 Bristol City 22 8 3 11 +1 27
17 Nott'm Forest 22 7 5 10 -4 26
18 Wolves 22 6 7 9 -2 25
19 Cardiff 23 6 6 11 -12 24
20 QPR 22 6 5 11 -11 23
21 Burton Albion 22 5 7 10 -7 22
22 Blackburn 22 5 5 12 -10 20
23 Wigan 22 4 6 12 -9 18
24 Rotherham 22 2 4 16 -27 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Wigan
1–0 A. Belaïd
8′
Joe Mattock 🟨
20′
Daniel Ward 🟨
25′
31′
🟨 Craig Davies
2–0 D. Ward
R. Wood
32′
Aymen Belaid 🟨
36′
Darnell Fisher 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Burn
own goal
46′
51′
Y. Wildschut 2–2
Jordi Gómez
56′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ C. Davies
P. Odemwingie 🔁
↦ I. Brown
68′
79′
Jordi Gómez 2–3
A. Kellett
80′
🔁 N. Byrne
↦ A. Kellett
W. Vaulks 🔁
↦ J. Newell
84′
90′
🟨 Michael Jacobs
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-4-2
12 L. Price G
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock D
26 A. Belaïd D
17 D. Fisher D
8 L. Frecklington M
24 T. Adeyemi M
22 J. Newell M
7 A. Forde M
9 D. Ward F
37 I. Brown M
Bench (7)
13 P. Odemwingie
4 W. Vaulks
2 S. Kelly
5 K. Broadfoot
11 J. Taylor
20 D. Blackstock
45 L. Bilboe

Coach: P. Warne

Wigan

4-3-3
22 J. Jääskeläinen
23 S. Warnock M
3 J. Buxton D
33 D. Burn D
13 A. Kellett D
14 Jordi Gómez M
17 M. Jacobs M
6 M. Power M
21 C. Davies F
9 W. Grigg F
31 Y. Wildschut F
Bench (7)
11 A. Le Fondre
10 N. Byrne
15 J. Flores
18 K. Woolery
29 L. Burke
36 D. Lavercombe
44 S. Stubbs

Coach: W. Joyce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.