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Championship
Referee: Darren Deadman
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milton Keynes Dons Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
20%
37%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
35%
58%
Both score Ø 55%
35%
74%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Milton Keynes Dons 22. · Sheffield Weds 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 19 11 8 0 +11 41
2 Middlesbrough 20 12 4 4 +17 40
3 Hull 19 11 5 3 +18 38
4 Derby 19 9 8 2 +13 35
5 Burnley 20 9 8 3 +7 35
6 Ipswich 20 8 7 5 +2 31
7 Cardiff 20 7 9 4 +4 30
8 Sheffield Weds 19 7 8 4 +3 29
9 Birmingham 20 8 5 7 +3 29
10 Brentford 20 8 5 7 +1 29
11 Blackburn 21 6 10 5 +4 28
12 Reading 20 7 6 7 +3 27
13 QPR 20 7 6 7 -1 27
14 Wolves 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 Nott'm Forest 21 6 7 8 +0 25
16 Preston 20 5 9 6 +0 24
17 Fulham 20 5 8 7 -2 23
18 Leeds 20 5 8 7 -4 23
19 Bristol City 20 4 7 9 -13 19
20 Huddersfield 20 4 6 10 -10 18
21 Charlton 20 4 5 11 -15 17
22 Milton Keynes Dons 20 4 4 12 -12 16
23 Rotherham 20 4 3 13 -14 15
24 Bolton 20 1 9 10 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.