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OBOS-ligaen
Nest-Sotra
T U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Notodden
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nest-Sotra Notodden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nest-Sotra 8. · Notodden 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 13 10 2 1 +16 32
2 Sandefjord 13 9 3 1 +10 30
3 Raufoss 13 8 1 4 +0 25
4 Kongsvinger 13 7 3 3 +6 24
5 KFUM Oslo 13 7 2 4 +8 23
6 Start 12 7 1 4 +4 22
7 Ull/Kisa 13 6 2 5 +12 20
8 Nest-Sotra 13 5 3 5 +4 18
9 Sogndal 12 5 2 5 +1 17
10 Sandnes ULF 13 4 5 4 +1 17
11 Jerv 13 3 6 4 -5 15
12 Ham-Kam 13 3 4 6 -4 13
13 Skeid 13 2 4 7 -6 10
14 Notodden 13 3 1 9 -8 10
15 Strommen 13 1 5 7 -11 8
16 Tromsdalen Uil 13 0 2 11 -28 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nest-Sotra Notodden
35′
🟨 E. Johansen
37′
E. Johansen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
E. Larsen 🔁
↦ P. Nergard
46′
M. Mehnert 🔁
↦ I. Anthony
46′
J. Hestetun 🔁
↦ M. Songve
66′
1–1 A. Dang
78′
2–1 M. Sande
81′
82′
🔁 M. Ledger
↦ M. Holmen
85′
🔁 J. Robson
↦ E. Johansen
85′
🔁 S. Hansen
↦ K. Tøsse
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nest-Sotra

1 R. Fij
68 E. Nurkic
5 B. Haugsdal
3 D. Arrocha
22 M. Songve
26 I. Anthony
29 K. Stephensen
6 P. Nergard
21 M. Sande
10 A. Dang
20 J. De Souza
Bench (7)
2 E. Larsen
77 M. Mehnert
4 J. Hestetun
14 T. Økland
19 A. Hoven
27 S. Hagos
99 M. Pettersen

Coach: S. Landro

Notodden

12 E. Vasby
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
14 M. Olsen
23 G. Salasiwa
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
21 K. Tøsse
10 E. Midtgarden
9 M. Brekke
22 A. Bakke
Bench (6)
6 M. Ledger
18 J. Robson
25 S. Hansen
4 M. Strange
15 E. Hagen
30 B. Grøtterud

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.