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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Man United

U S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Southampton

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 1. · Southampton 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.