Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Norwich
Tottenham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leicester
|
23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | +16 | 47 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +22 | 44 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +15 | 44 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | +22 | 42 |
| 5 |
Man United
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 37 |
| 6 |
West Ham
|
23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | +8 | 36 |
| 7 |
Liverpool
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 |
Southampton
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 33 |
| 9 |
Stoke
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 |
Watford
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |
Crystal Palace
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 |
Everton
|
23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | +6 | 29 |
| 13 |
Chelsea
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 |
West Brom
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 |
Bournemouth
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 25 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 23 |
| 18 |
Newcastle
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 |
Sunderland
|
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -18 | 19 |
| 20 |
Aston Villa
|
23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -20 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ivo Pinto
D
K. Walker
D
E. Dier
M
H. Kane
F
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Norwich
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Norwich
Stoke
Norwich
Norwich
Southampton
Norwich
Aston Villa
Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.