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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Medic
Lillestrom
T S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Strommen
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Strommen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
55%
82%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 7. · Strommen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 11 8 1 2 +11 25
2 Ranheim 10 8 0 2 +18 24
3 Asane 11 5 3 3 +6 18
4 Sogndal 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 Grorud 11 5 2 4 +3 17
6 Sandnes ULF 11 5 2 4 -6 17
7 Lillestrom 11 4 4 3 +2 16
8 Jerv 11 3 6 2 +3 15
9 Stjørdals-Blink 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 KFUM Oslo 11 3 4 4 -2 13
11 Raufoss 11 2 5 4 -2 11
12 Ull/Kisa 11 2 5 4 -6 11
13 Strommen 11 3 2 6 -8 11
14 Øygarden 11 2 4 5 -8 10
15 Kongsvinger 11 2 3 6 -10 9
16 Ham-Kam 11 1 4 6 -7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Strommen
14′
🟨 L. Nordas
1–0 D. Gustafsson
21′
41′
🟨 H. Kurucay
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. Chaib
↦ M. Olsen
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
58′
A. Melgalvis 🟨
69′
S. Mikalsen 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
75′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
75′
T. Olsen 🟨
76′
80′
🔁 S. Birkeland
↦ B. Sandmoen
80′
🔁 H. Thun
↦ L. Nordås
83′
🔁 M. Tvedte
↦ K. Jahr
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
88′
90′
🟨 M. Bjorlo
91′
🔁 K. Sellin
↦ T. George
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
22 P. Slørdahl
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
8 I. Mathew
21 M. Knudsen
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (9)
14 F. Krogstad
3 S. Mikalsen
18 M. Ebiye
26 L. Ranger
4 T. Salquist
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
25 J. Coppens
27 A. Sannes
40 J. Sveinhaug

Coach: G. Bakke

Strommen

1 S. Lillevik
4 K. Jahr
5 S. Bjørkkjær
58 H. Kuruçay
3 M. Olsen
17 T. George
22 M. Sjølstad
11 M. Bjørlo
6 T. Naustdal
16 B. Sandmoen
18 L. Nordås
Bench (9)
15 Y. Chaib
8 S. Birkeland
14 H. Thun
2 M. Tvedte
19 K. Sellin
10 M. Achrifi
31 C. Buhake
7 M. Al Laham
9 W. Pozo-Venta

Coach: O. Nesselquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Medic · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.