Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |
Ull/Kisa
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |
Asane
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 |
Notodden
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 10 |
| 7 |
Jerv
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Mjondalen
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 9 |
Nest-Sotra
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |
Sogndal
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +0 | 9 |
| 11 |
Levanger
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 |
Strommen
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |
Kongsvinger
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 |
Floro
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -14 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Asane
Asane
Aalesund
Jerv
Asane
Asane
Floro
Viking
Asane
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.