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Conference League
Referee: R M Petrescu
Motherwell
S S U U S
1–3
Full-time
Freiburg
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 26
1 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Motherwell Freiburg
1–0 R. Charles-Cook ⚽
E. Longelo
2′
Joe Hodge 🟨
21′
28′
⚽ M. Ginter 1–1
I. Matanovic
Lukas Fadinger 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
S. Palmer-Houlden 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
46′
59′
🟨 Jan-Niklas Beste
Martin Moormann ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
61′
Martin Moormann 🟥
65′
65′
⚽ M. Ginter 1–2
Alex Lowry 🟨
67′
E. Wilson 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
71′
W. Vogt 🔁
↦ T. Maswanhise
71′
74′
🔁 V. Grifo
↦ Y. Suzuki
74′
🔁 C. Irie
↦ J. Beste
S. O'Donnell 🔁
↦ J. Girdwood-Reich
78′
O. Whyte 🔁
↦ J. Hodge
78′
80′
🔁 P. Lienhart
↦ M. Rosenfelder
80′
🔁 K. Goto
↦ I. Matanovic
90′
🔁 B. Yilmaz
↦ D. Scherhant
90′
⚽ K. Goto 1–3
V. Grifo
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 A. Paulsen G
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
4 J. Knight-Lebel D
5 M. Moormann D
45 E. Longelo D
11 A. Lowry M
8 L. Fadinger M
71 J. Hodge M
18 T. Maswanhise F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
19 I. Said F
Bench (12)
21 Matty Connelly
31 J. McConnell
23 E. Wilson
2 S. O'Donnell
25 O. Whyte
27 M. Booth
29 Z. McAllister
34 A. Thomson
35 B. Watson
24 L. Ross
77 W. Vogt
47 S. Palmer-Houlden

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 M. Backhaus G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
37 M. Rosenfelder D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
16 Y. Engelhardt M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
7 D. Scherhant M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
17 L. Kubler
43 B. Ogbus
30 C. Gunter
5 A. Jung
3 P. Lienhart
27 B. Yilmaz
32 V. Grifo
6 P. Osterhage
42 K. Goto
22 C. Irie

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.