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Conference League
Referee: J Xhaja
Twente
U S T U S
0–1
Full-time
Qarabag
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
6,0
1,5
Scored
4,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 4
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Twente Qarabag
Robin Pröpper 🟨
23′
Aske Adelgaard 🟨
28′
28′
🟨 Matheus Silva
Daouda Weidmann 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
M. Bruns 🔁
↦ R. Propper
46′
52′
⚽ Kady Borges 0–1
M. Qurbanly
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟨
58′
K. Hlynsson 🔁
↦ M. Pjaca
61′
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
61′
Daan Rots 🟨
66′
75′
🔁 Dani Bolt
↦ M. Qurbanly
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ A. Adelgaard
83′
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink 🔁
↦ D. Weidmann
83′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-1-4-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
3 R. Propper D
43 R. Nijstad D
29 A. Adelgaard D
6 R. Zerrouki M
7 M. Pjaca M
11 D. Rots M
42 D. Weidmann M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (12)
22 R. Pasveer
16 J. Drommel
12 G. Peixoto
38 M. Bruns
24 K. Kurowski
14 K. Hlynsson
4 M. Kjolo
20 T. van den Belt
10 S. Lammers
19 Y. Taha
17 F. Thorvaldsen
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink

Coach: John van den Brom

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
23 M. Zlomislic G
2 Matheus Silva D
55 B. Huseynov D
4 B. Varkonyi
5 B. Langa D
88 S. Lobato M
8 M. Jankovic M
21 O. Kashchuk M
20 Kady Borges M
7 J. Mouaddib M
22 M. Qurbanly F
Bench (7)
99 M. Kochalski
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
13 B. Mustafazada
18 Dani Bolt
9 J. Montiel
32 H. Cabrayilzada
49 A. Bashirov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.