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Conference League
Referee: Enea Jorgji
Sparta Praha
T T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Riga
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,8
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Sparta Praha Riga
Martin Suchomel 🟨
-5′
7′
🟨 Antonijs Černomordijs
Matěj Ryneš 🟨
20′
1–0 J. Kuchta ⚽
L. Haraslin
22′
Half-time 1–0
J. Mercado 🔁
↦ M. Rynes
57′
58′
🟨 Maksims Tonisevs
58′
🟨 Orlando Galo
61′
🔁 A. Contreras
↦ M. Diop
64′
🟨 Anthony Contreras
P. Kaderabek 🔁
↦ A. Preciado
67′
A. Rrahmani 🔁
↦ J. Kuchta
67′
Adam Sevinsky 🟨
69′
75′
🔁 Iago Siqueira
↦ J. Grimaldo
S. Eneme 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
78′
K. Milla 🔁
↦ L. Haraslin
78′
89′
🔁 M. Regza
↦ Reginaldo Ramires
2–0 A. Rrahmani ⚽
V. Birmancevic
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
16 E. Uchenna D
25 A. Sorensen D
19 A. Sevinsky D
17 A. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
8 M. Andersen M
11 M. Rynes M
14 V. Birmancevic F
10 J. Kuchta F
22 L. Haraslin F
Bench (12)
44 J. Surovcik
60 P. Rodriguez
2 M. Suchomel
3 P. Kaderabek
4 M. Solbakken
5 S. Eneme
7 J. Mercado
9 A. Rrahmani
18 L. Sadilek
21 D. Holly
26 P. Vydra
28 K. Milla

Coach: Brian Priske Pedersen

Riga

4-2-3-1
1 K. Zviedris G
3 M. Ngom D
34 A. Cernomordijs D
21 B. Musah D
13 R. Jurkovskis D
23 M. Tonisevs D
40 A. Ankrah M
22 M. Diop
4 O. Galo M
20 J. Grimaldo M
10 Reginaldo Ramires F
Bench (11)
12 K. Zommers
44 M. Kazainis
5 K. Wassom
8 Iago Siqueira
9 A. Contreras
11 B. Pena
18 M. Regza
19 A. Taiwo
25 N. Muzinga
27 E. Birka
77 G. Mankenda

Coach: Adrián Gul'a

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.