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Europa League
Referee: D Siebert
Marseille
T S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Atalanta
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,93 xG 0,82
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Marseille Atalanta
11′
⚽ G. Scamacca 0–1
T. Koopmeiners
17′
🔁 M. Pašalić
↦ S. Kolašinac
1–1 C. Mbemba ⚽
G. Kondogbia
20′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 A. Lookman
↦ G. Scamacca
F. Moumbagna 🔁
↦ I. Sarr
65′
Q. Merlin 🔁
↦ J. Clauss
65′
Leonardo Balerdi 🟨
68′
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ A. Harit
72′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ A. Murillo
72′
84′
🔁 H. Hateboer
↦ D. Zappacosta
84′
🔁 Aleksey Miranchuk
↦ C. De Ketelaere
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Marseille

5-3-2
16 Pau López G
7 J. Clauss D
99 C. Mbemba D
5 L. Balerdi D
62 A. Murillo D
44 Luis Henrique D
11 A. Harit M
19 G. Kondogbia M
27 J. Veretout M
23 I. Sarr F
10 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (12)
14 F. Moumbagna
3 Q. Merlin
29 I. Ndiaye
8 A. Ounahi
36 Rubén Blanco
37 E. Soglo
46 G. Lafont
48 Y. Said M'Madi
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
20 J. Correa
41 K. Abdallah
49 R. Daou

Coach: J. Gasset

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
42 G. Scalvini D
19 B. Djimsiti D
23 S. Kolašinac D
77 D. Zappacosta M
15 M. de Roon M
13 Éderson M
22 M. Ruggeri M
7 T. Koopmeiners F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
90 G. Scamacca F
Bench (11)
8 M. Pašalić
11 A. Lookman
33 H. Hateboer
59 Aleksey Miranchuk
45 M. Palestra
43 G. Bonfanti
29 M. Carnesecchi
53 P. Comi
31 F. Rossi
25 M. Adopo
10 E. Touré

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.