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Super League
Referee: F Polychronis
Panetolikos
T U S U T
1–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 42%
15%
69%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
62%
69%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
3 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 13. · Olympiakos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 25 17 7 1 +34 58
2 Olympiakos 26 18 3 5 +34 57
3 PAOK 26 17 4 5 +40 55
4 Panathinaikos 25 16 4 5 +37 52
5 Aris Thessalonikis 24 12 5 7 +12 41
6 Aris 24 12 5 7 +12 41
7 Lamia 27 10 8 9 -6 38
8 Asteras Tripolis 27 10 4 13 -9 34
9 Atromitos 27 7 9 11 -15 30
10 OFI Crete 27 6 9 12 -18 27
11 Panserraikos 26 5 10 11 -17 25
12 Volos NFC 27 4 8 15 -26 20
13 Panetolikos 26 4 7 15 -26 19
14 Kifisia 27 3 10 14 -29 19
15 Giannina 26 3 9 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Olympiakos
1–0 Frederico Duarte
S. Díaz
33′
Half-time 1–0
Frederico Duarte 🟨
53′
56′
🟨 Quini
59′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ G. Masouras
59′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ Jovane Cabral
59′
🔁 S. Hezze
↦ Iborra
L. Shengelia 🔁
↦ S. Díaz
61′
A. Tsingaras 🔁
↦ I. Bouzoukis
61′
N. Stajić 🔁
↦ J. Tabidze
67′
João Pedro 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
67′
P. Silva 🔁
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
70′
72′
P. Silva 2–0
own goal
73′
🟨 Rúben Vezo
79′
A. El Kaabi 2–1
83′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ Gelson Martins
90′
🔁 A. Ntoi
↦ Rúben Vezo
93′
🟨 Chiquinho
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

5-3-2
13 L. Chaves G
35 C. Mavrias D
6 M. Oikonomou D
47 A. Malis D
4 J. Tabidze D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
14 Frederico Duarte M
34 F. Pérez M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
22 S. Díaz F
7 N. Karelis F
Bench (9)
27 L. Shengelia
37 A. Tsingaras
49 N. Stajić
45 João Pedro
24 P. Silva
1 S. Kapino
54 G. Liavas
26 B. Duarte
15 S. Lomónaco

Coach: G. Petrakis

Olympiakos

4-4-2
1 A. Paschalakis G
18 Quini D
14 Rúben Vezo D
45 P. Retsos D
3 F. Ortega D
56 Daniel Podence M
8 Iborra M
6 Chiquinho M
17 Jovane Cabral M
9 A. El Kaabi F
19 G. Masouras F
Bench (9)
22 S. Jovetić
10 Gelson Martins
32 S. Hezze
15 S. Alexandropoulos
74 A. Ntoi
20 João Carvalho
29 Fran Navarro
27 O. Richards
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,34
U
4,88
B ✓
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Polychronis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.