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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Stabaek

U S U T T

4–2

Full-time

Valerenga

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

55%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 0

1 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stabaek 9. · Valerenga 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	23	15	5	3	+31	50
2	Sarpsborg 08	23	11	8	4	+9	41
3	Brann	24	11	7	6	+17	40
4	Molde	23	12	4	7	+12	40
5	Haugesund	22	10	6	6	+5	36
6	Stromsgodset	23	8	8	7	+0	32
7	Odd	23	9	5	9	-7	32
8	Sandefjord	23	9	3	11	-6	30
9	Stabaek	23	8	6	9	-8	30
10	Kristiansund	24	7	8	9	-3	29
11	Lillestrom	23	7	7	9	-5	28
12	Valerenga	22	7	6	9	-5	27
13	Sogndal	23	7	5	11	-7	26
14	Aalesund	23	6	7	10	-3	25
15	Tromso	23	5	7	11	-13	22
16	Viking	23	3	6	14	-17	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	8	2	2	+18	26
2	Sarpsborg 08	12	7	4	1	+13	25
3	Brann	12	7	3	2	+16	24
4	Stromsgodset	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Odd	11	7	2	2	+6	23
6	Molde	11	7	1	3	+11	22
7	Kristiansund	12	5	6	1	+7	21
8	Sandefjord	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Haugesund	11	5	5	1	+5	20
10	Valerenga	11	5	4	2	+6	19
11	Sogndal	11	5	2	4	+5	17
12	Lillestrom	12	5	2	5	-1	17
13	Stabaek	12	5	2	5	-2	17
14	Aalesund	12	4	3	5	+2	15
15	Tromso	11	3	5	3	+3	14
16	Viking	11	2	3	6	-4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Molde	12	5	3	4	+1	18
3	Brann	12	4	4	4	+1	16
4	Haugesund	11	5	1	5	+0	16
5	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	-4	16
6	Stabaek	11	3	4	4	-6	13
7	Lillestrom	11	2	5	4	-4	11
8	Aalesund	11	2	4	5	-5	10
9	Sandefjord	12	3	1	8	-12	10
10	Sogndal	12	2	3	7	-12	9
11	Odd	12	2	3	7	-13	9
12	Stromsgodset	11	1	5	5	-9	8
13	Kristiansund	12	2	2	8	-10	8
14	Valerenga	11	2	2	7	-11	8
15	Tromso	12	2	2	8	-16	8
16	Viking	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.