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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydın
Ankaragücü
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,78 xG 1,35
43% Possession 57%
18 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 18. · Ad. Demirspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hatayspor 2 1 1 0 +4 +2.1 4
2 Sivasspor 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.2 4
3 Alanyaspor 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.0 4
4 Galatasaray 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.6 4
5 Kasimpasa 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
6 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.9 4
7 Karagumruk 2 1 0 1 +1 -2.1 3
8 Fenerbahce 1 1 0 0 +1 +3.8 3
9 Ad. Demirspor 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.7 3
10 Trabzonspor 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.9 3
11 Konyaspor 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.5 2
12 İstanbulspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.5 2
13 Kayserispor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.4 2
14 Samsunspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
15 Rizespor 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
16 Antalyaspor 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
17 Pendikspor 2 0 1 1 -4 -2.5 1
18 Ankaragücü 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
19 Gaziantep 2 0 0 2 -3 -4.1 0
20 Buyuksehyr 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Ad. Demirspor
24′
ℹ️ M'Baye Niang
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
M. Niang 0–1
1–1 E. Bekiroğlu
42′
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 Nani
↦ M. Niang
64′
🔁 T. Aydoğan
↦ D. Toköz
M. Hanousek 🔁
↦ M. Çetin
70′
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ R. Cephas
70′
R. Bajić 🔁
↦ A. Sowe
83′
C. Türkmen 🔁
↦ A. Đokanović
83′
A. Güneren 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
88′
Tolga Ciğerci 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 Kévin Rodrigues
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-3-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
77 H. Bilazer D
26 U. Radaković D
45 M. Çetin D
18 N. Mujakić D
16 A. Đokanović M
30 T. Ciğerci M
10 E. Bekiroğlu M
70 S. Kitsiou F
22 A. Sowe F
29 R. Cephas
Bench (10)
5 M. Hanousek
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
9 R. Bajić
6 C. Türkmen
23 A. Güneren
8 Pedrinho
99 B. Güngördü
4 A. Çankaya
2 A. Kuyubaşı
3 A. Uludağ

Coach: T. Kafkas

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 A. Gravillon D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
26 D. Toköz M
90 B. Stambouli M
32 Y. Erdoğan M
8 E. Akbaba M
11 D. Akintola M
9 M. Niang F
Bench (10)
30 Nani
6 T. Aydoğan
17 B. Ndiaye
16 İ. Çelik
3 A. Dursun
15 J. Manev
2 İ. Çokçalış
18 G. Karačić
39 V. Karakuş
21 A. Burak

Coach: P. Kluivert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,69
B
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,44
U2,5 ✓
2,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Aydın · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.