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Conference League
Referee: J Machálek
Riga
S
2–0
Full-time
Derry City
T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Derry City
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Jul -22 Derry City – Riga 0–2

Match report

Riga Derry City
M. Soisalo 🔁
↦ T. Petsos
16′
1–0 Gabriel Ramos ⚽
33′
Half-time 1–0
V. Yurchenko 🔁
↦ O. Filippov
46′
60′
🔁 J. McGonigle
↦ J. Akintunde
60′
🔁 E. McLaughlin
↦ D. Lafferty
73′
🔁 M. Duffy
↦ S. McEleney
73′
🔁 R. Graydon
↦ B. Kavanagh
2–0 Gabriel Ramos ⚽
76′
A. Pētersons 🔁
↦ Gabriel Ramos
81′
B. Tutu 🔁
↦ Douglas Aurélio
84′
R. Rugins 🔁
↦ Y. Kendysh
84′
85′
🔁 C. Coll
↦ E. Toal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Riga

4-3-3
16 N. Puriņš G
25 N. Muzinga D
6 D. Bergqvist D
22 I. Korotkovs M
13 R. Jurkovskis D
5 T. Petsos M
7 Y. Vakulko M
77 Y. Kendysh M
90 O. Filippov F
10 Gabriel Ramos M
30 Douglas Aurélio F
Bench (8)
11 M. Soisalo
80 V. Yurchenko
9 A. Pētersons
92 B. Tutu
8 R. Rugins
3 A. Kurakins
1 D. Ošs
12 R. Ozols

Coach: S. Perković

Derry City

4-3-3
26 B. Maher G
23 C. Dummigan D
6 E. Toal D
10 P. McEleney M
17 C. McJannett D
16 S. McEleney D
8 J. Thomson M
14 W. Patching M
11 J. Akintunde F
20 B. Kavanagh M
24 D. Lafferty M
Bench (10)
9 J. McGonigle
25 E. McLaughlin
7 M. Duffy
19 R. Graydon
3 C. Coll
37 D. McCallion
1 N. Gartside
29 J. Malone
33 C. Porter
30 F. Doherty

Coach: R. Higgins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.