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Conference League
Referee: E Jorgji
Fiorentina
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/6 matches
Win Ø 60%
70%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,22 xG 0,72
63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Fiorentina Sivasspor
42′
🟨 Samu Sáiz
Half-time 0–0
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
58′
R. Sottil 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
58′
A. Barák 🔁
↦ G. Castrovilli
58′
R. Mandragora 🔁
↦ S. Amrabat
59′
59′
🔁 M. Gradel
↦ Samuel Sáiz
Luka Jović 🟨
62′
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ G. Bonaventura
68′
68′
🔁 L. James
↦ J. Caicedo
1–0 A. Barák ⚽
L. Martínez
69′
C. Kouamé 🔁
↦ N. González
80′
80′
🔁 C. N'Jie
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
80′
🔁 F. Ulvestad
↦ H. Arslan
Arthur Cabral 🟨
83′
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 Isaac Cofie
94′
🟥 Max Gradel
Dodô 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
2 Dodô D
28 L. Martínez D
98 Igor D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
34 S. Amrabat M
10 G. Castrovilli M
11 J. Ikoné F
7 L. Jović F
22 N. González F
Bench (12)
33 R. Sottil
72 A. Barák
38 R. Mandragora
9 Arthur Cabral
99 C. Kouamé
56 S. Sirigu
4 N. Milenković
77 J. Brekalo
32 A. Duncan
16 L. Ranieri
42 A. Bianco
23 L. Venuti

Coach: V. Italiano

Sivasspor

4-3-3
35 A. Vural G
2 M. Paluli D
4 A. Appindangoyé D
6 D. Goutas D
3 U. Çiftçi D
37 H. Arslan M
5 I. Cofie M
15 C. Charisis M
24 Samuel Sáiz F
30 J. Caicedo F
17 E. Yeşilyurt F
Bench (10)
7 M. Gradel
90 L. James
10 C. N'Jie
23 F. Ulvestad
58 Z. Erdal
96 M. Albayrak
26 A. Musa
21 E. Gökay
16 B. Kuçkar
25 M. Yıldırım

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.