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Conference League
Referee: B Frankowski
Anderlecht
T U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Villarreal
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,9
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,52 xG 0,66
47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Anderlecht Villarreal
28′
⚽ Manu Trigueros 0–1
S. Chukwueze
37′
🟨 Manu Trigueros
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Dreyer ⚽
F. Amuzu
57′
58′
🔁 Yeremy Pino
↦ S. Chukwueze
58′
🔁 Gerard Moreno
↦ Jorge Pascual
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ B. Raman
65′
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
65′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
73′
74′
🔁 Ramón Terrats
↦ Manu Trigueros
74′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ Álex Baena
74′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ José Luis Morales
K. Sardella 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
86′
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ A. Dreyer
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
10 Y. Verschaeren M
21 A. Diawara M
36 A. Dreyer M
11 L. Refaelov M
7 F. Amuzu M
9 B. Raman F
Bench (12)
13 I. Slimani
29 M. Stroeykens
18 M. Ashimeru
54 K. Sardella
32 N. Angulo
27 N. Sadiki
23 H. Bellman
61 K. Arnstad
76 L. Stassin
71 T. Leoni
26 C. Coosemans
24 I. Abdulrazak

Coach: B. Riemer

Villarreal

4-3-3
1 Pepe Reina G
8 J. Foyth D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
12 J. Mojica D
14 Manu Trigueros M
10 Dani Parejo M
16 Álex Baena M
11 S. Chukwueze F
43 Jorge Pascual F
22 José Luis Morales F
Bench (12)
21 Yeremy Pino
7 Gerard Moreno
39 Ramón Terrats
17 G. Lo Celso
15 N. Jackson
45 Gianni
4 Pau Torres
2 Kiko Femenía
18 Alberto Moreno
3 Raúl Albiol
35 F. Jörgensen
24 Pedraza

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.