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Europa League
Referee: S Schärer
Roma
T S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Sociedad
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
63%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
63%
17%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,97 xG 0,81
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Sociedad
1–0 S. El Shaarawy ⚽
T. Abraham
13′
Half-time 1–0
M. Kumbulla 🔁
↦ Diego Llorente
46′
L. Spinazzola 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
60′
G. Wijnaldum 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
60′
A. Belotti 🔁
↦ T. Abraham
61′
67′
🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal
↦ A. Sørloth
68′
🟨 Asier Illarramendi
71′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
75′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ Illarramendi
75′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ T. Kubo
80′
🟨 Andoni Gorosabel
83′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ David Silva
83′
🔁 Álex Sola
↦ Gorosabel
85′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
2–0 M. Kumbulla ⚽
P. Dybala
87′
E. Bove 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
88′
Nemanja Matić 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Mikel Oyarzabal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
14 Diego Llorente D
2 R. Karsdorp M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
92 S. El Shaarawy M
21 P. Dybala F
7 L. Pellegrini F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
24 M. Kumbulla
37 L. Spinazzola
25 G. Wijnaldum
11 A. Belotti
52 E. Bove
68 B. Tahirovic
63 P. Boer
59 N. Zalewski
20 M. Camara
99 M. Svilar
19 Z. Çelik
62 C. Volpato

Coach: José Mourinho

Sociedad

4-3-2-1
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
15 Diego Rico D
8 Mikel Merino M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
4 Illarramendi M
21 David Silva M
14 T. Kubo M
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (12)
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
23 Brais Méndez
11 M. Cho
22 Beñat Turrientes
2 Álex Sola
20 Jon Pacheco
9 Carlos Fernández
7 Barrenetxea
17 Robert Navarro
16 Guevara
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
12 Aihen Muñoz

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.