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Europa League
Referee: T Stieler
Rennes
S T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
71%
100%
Both score Ø 93%
86%
100%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,46 xG 0,46
52% Possession 48%
23 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -23 Shakhtar Donetsk – Rennes 2–1

Match report

Rennes Shakhtar Donetsk
24′
ℹ️ Lassina Traoré
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Toko Ekambi ⚽
A. Gouiri
52′
Djed Spence 🟨
54′
62′
🟨 Valeriy Bondar
68′
🟨 Lassina Traoré
L. Ugochukwu 🔁
↦ L. Majer
71′
79′
🔁 D. Sikan
↦ L. Traoré
80′
🔁 N. Đurasek
↦ D. Topalov
82′
🟨 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
F. Tait 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
84′
93′
🟨 Yukhym Konoplia
B. Meling 🔁
↦ A. Truffert
97′
I. Salah 🔁
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
97′
D. Doué 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
97′
100′
🔁 E. Nazaryna
↦ T. Stepanenko
2–0 I. Salah ⚽
J. Doku
106′
112′
🔁 K. Kelsy
↦ O. Zubkov
119′
⚽ J. Belocian 3–0
own goal
121′
🟨 Mykola Matviyenko
4–0 D. Doué ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ E. Nazaryna 4–1
J. Doku ❌
penalty missed
123′
124′
⚽ H. Sudakov 4–2
B. Meling ❌
penalty missed
125′
126′
⚽ A. Bondarenko 4–3
127′
❌ V. Bondar
penalty missed
5–3 A. Gouiri ⚽
128′
6–3 F. Tait ⚽
129′
130′
❌ D. Sikan
penalty missed
7–3 W. Omari ⚽
131′
132′
⚽ Y. Konoplya 7–4
L. Ugochukwu ❌
penalty missed
133′
134′
⚽ K. Kelsy 7–5
Full-time 7–5

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
90 D. Spence D
23 W. Omari D
18 J. Belocian D
3 A. Truffert D
10 J. Doku M
8 B. Santamaría M
21 L. Majer M
17 K. Toko Ekambi M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
19 A. Gouiri F
Bench (11)
6 L. Ugochukwu
20 F. Tait
25 B. Meling
34 I. Salah
33 D. Doué
5 A. Theate
31 G. Doué
1 D. Alemdar
2 J. Rodon
15 C. Wooh
89 R. Salin

Coach: B. Génésio

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
81 A. Trubin G
26 Y. Konoplya D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviyenko D
15 B. Mykhailichenko D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 H. Sudakov M
20 D. Topalov M
2 L. Traoré F
Bench (12)
14 D. Sikan
17 N. Đurasek
29 E. Nazaryna
18 K. Kelsy
7 A. Totovytskyi
28 M. Farina
23 Lucas Taylor
30 A. Pyatov
32 E. Kozik
1 O. Shevchenko
44 Y. Rakitskyi
27 O. Ocheretko

Coach: I. Jovičević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.