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Europa League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Monaco
S S S S S
2–3
Full-time
Leverkusen
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 29%
57%
0%
Points per game
1,9
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
57%
100%
Both score Ø 79%
57%
100%
Average goals
3,1
5,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,4
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,93 xG 2,30
49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -23 Leverkusen – Monaco 2–3

Match report

Monaco Leverkusen
13′
⚽ F. Wirtz 0–1
1–1 W. Ben Yedder ⚽
19′
21′
⚽ E. Palacios 1–2
Youssouf Fofana 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–3
58′
⚽ A. Adli 1–3
F. Wirtz
E. Diop 🔁
↦ C. Matsima
61′
65′
🟨 Robert Andrich
E. Matazo 🔁
↦ Mohamed Camara
70′
70′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ A. Hložek
74′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ A. Adli
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
78′
M. Boadu 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
78′
I. Jakobs 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
78′
2–3 B. Embolo ⚽
K. Diatta
84′
99′
🟨 Exequiel Palacios
103′
🔁 M. Diaby
↦ J. Frimpong
K. Volland 🔁
↦ K. Diatta
110′
115′
🔁 S. Azmoun
↦ F. Wirtz
Caio Henrique 🟨
119′
Ismail Jakobs 🟨
120′
121′
⚽ S. Azmoun 2–4
3–4 A. Disasi ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ N. Amiri 3–5
E. Matazo ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ E. Tapsoba 3–6
4–6 B. Embolo ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ P. Schick 4–7
5–7 K. Volland ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ M. Diaby 5–8
Full-time 5–8

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
34 C. Matsima D
6 A. Disasi D
23 M. Sarr D
12 Caio Henrique D
27 K. Diatta M
4 Mohamed Camara M
19 Y. Fofana M
17 A. Golovin M
44 E. Ben Seghir F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (12)
43 E. Diop
15 E. Matazo
36 B. Embolo
9 M. Boadu
14 I. Jakobs
31 K. Volland
99 Y. Okou
18 T. Minamino
77 Gelson Martins
21 M. Akliouche
41 S. Magassa
30 T. Didillon

Coach: P. Clement

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
8 R. Andrich M
5 M. Bakker M
21 A. Adli F
27 F. Wirtz F
23 A. Hložek F
Bench (12)
14 P. Schick
11 N. Amiri
19 M. Diaby
9 S. Azmoun
17 C. Hudson-Odoi
6 O. Kossounou
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
32 A. Azhil
38 K. Bellarabi
10 K. Demirbay
28 P. Pentz
36 N. Lomb

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.