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Europa League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Ferencvarosi TC
U S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Ludogorets
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 45%
44%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
56%
73%
Both score Ø 76%
78%
73%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,75 xG 0,91
40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Ludogorets – Ferencvarosi TC 2–1 6. Nov -25 Ferencvarosi TC – Ludogorets 3–1 12. Aug -25 Ferencvarosi TC – Ludogorets 3–0 6. Aug -25 Ludogorets – Ferencvarosi TC 0–0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Ludogorets
Gabi Kanichowsky 🟨
9′
1–0 G. Kanichowsky ⚽
L. Joseph
14′
K. Zachariassen 🔁
↦ B. Otvos
17′
2–0 K. Zachariassen ⚽
Dele
30′
31′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
Half-time 2–0
Toon Raemaekers 🟨
51′
66′
🔁 Rwan Cruz
↦ Caio Vidal
66′
🔁 B. Tekpetey
↦ Erick Marcus
G. Szalai 🔁
↦ I. Cisse
68′
J. Romao 🔁
↦ M. Abu Fani
68′
74′
🟨 Petar Stanić
Mariano Gómez 🟨
75′
77′
🟨 Anton Nedyalkov
79′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ Pedro Naressi
79′
🔁 Vinicius Nogueira
↦ Son
Dávid Gróf 🟨
80′
87′
ℹ️ Kwadwo Duah
VAR: Penalty cancelled
90′
🔁 J. Andersson
↦ A. Nedyalkov
Lenny Joseph 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Bernard Tekpetey
A. Madarasz 🔁
↦ L. Joseph
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

3-5-2
99 D. Grof G
27 I. Cisse D
28 T. Raemaekers D
4 M. Gomez D
25 C. Makreckis M
15 M. Abu Fani M
36 G. Kanichowsky M
23 B. Otvos M
20 Cadu M
11 Dele F
75 L. Joseph F
Bench (12)
1 A. Varga
82 Z. Toth
5 N. Keita
10 J. Levi
16 K. Zachariassen
19 F. Kovacevic
22 G. Szalai
30 Z. Gruber
66 J. Romao
71 C. Lakatos
72 A. Madarasz
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robbie Keane

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
55 I. Nachmias D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
14 P. Stanic M
30 Pedro Naressi M
23 D. Duarte M
11 Caio Vidal F
9 K. Duah F
77 Erick Marcus F
Bench (9)
1 S. Padt
69 Z. Stoimenov
2 J. Andersson
12 Rwan Cruz
18 I. Chochev
26 F. Kaloc
27 Vinicius Nogueira
37 B. Tekpetey
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Per-Mathias Hogmo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.