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OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Arendal
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Arendal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
0%
22%
Points per game
0,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 16. · Arendal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Start 10 7 1 2 +12 22
2 Bodo/Glimt 9 7 1 1 +9 22
3 Ranheim 9 6 3 0 +6 21
4 Sandnes ULF 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Ull/Kisa 9 5 1 3 +3 16
6 Mjondalen 9 3 5 1 +7 14
7 Asane 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Levanger 9 2 5 2 +3 11
9 Strommen 9 3 2 4 -5 11
10 Elverum 9 2 4 3 -6 10
11 Tromsdalen Uil 9 2 3 4 -2 9
12 Floro 9 1 4 4 -5 7
13 Arendal 9 2 1 6 -7 7
14 Kongsvinger 9 1 3 5 -5 6
15 Jerv 10 0 6 4 -6 6
16 Fredrikstad 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.