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Europa League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
HNK Rijeka
S T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Elfsborg
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
0,5
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,8
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

HNK Rijeka Elfsborg
8′
🟨 Jalal Abdullai
24′
⚽ J. Abdullai 0–1
A. Zeneli
31′
🟨 Andri Baldursson
36′
🟨 Sebastian Holmén
Marco Pašalić 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 P. Frick
↦ A. Zeneli
1–1 N. Galešić ⚽
N. Janković
47′
50′
🟨 Terry Yegbe
56′
🟨 Jalal Abdullai
56′
🟥 Jalal Abdullai
60′
🔁 J. Thomasen
↦ A. Baldursson
G. Rukavina 🔁
↦ V. Hodža
62′
B. Bogojević 🔁
↦ M. Čabraja
62′
Š. Butić 🔁
↦ Marco Pašalić
73′
L. Selahi 🔁
↦ D. Petrovič
73′
78′
🔁 A. Qasem
↦ M. Baidoo
Gabriel Rukavina 🟨
80′
A. Majstorović 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
81′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-1-4-1
13 M. Zlomislić G
28 I. Smolčić D
5 N. Galešić D
6 S. Radeljić D
32 M. Čabraja D
25 V. Hodža M
87 Marco Pašalić M
8 D. Petrovič M
10 T. Fruk M
4 N. Janković M
11 F. Ivanović F
Bench (12)
41 G. Rukavina
30 B. Bogojević
27 Š. Butić
18 L. Selahi
45 A. Majstorović
12 E. Banda
24 B. Burčul
29 A. Babić
1 J. Posavec
21 S. Ilinković
7 N. Djouahra
34 M. Devetak

Coach: Ž. Sopić

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
4 G. Henriksson D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
6 A. Baldursson M
23 N. Hult D
14 J. Abdullai F
10 M. Baidoo M
9 A. Zeneli M
Bench (12)
17 P. Frick
7 J. Thomasen
18 A. Qasem
29 I. Buhari
12 L. Östman
13 J. Larsson
26 L. Richtnér
1 M. Uppenberg
11 E. Guðmundsson
24 C. Jebara
19 R. Kaib
30 M. Bundgaard

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.