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Europa League
Referee: C Pawson
Ludogorets
T T T S U
2–1
Full-time
Roma
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ludogorets Roma
Show 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
Anton Nedyalkov 🟨
52′
67′
🔁 E. Shomurodov
↦ A. Belotti
67′
🔁 L. Spinazzola
↦ Z. Çelik
Jakub Piotrowski 🟨
68′
Rick 🔁
↦ K. Despodov
71′
1–0 Cauly ⚽
J. Piotrowski
72′
75′
🔁 E. Bove
↦ B. Cristante
75′
🔁 C. Volpato
↦ G. Mancini
76′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ N. Matić
Nonato 🔁
↦ Show
77′
S. Delev 🔁
↦ Cauly
86′
86′
⚽ E. Shomurodov 1–1
L. Pellegrini
G. Terziev 🔁
↦ A. Witry
87′
2–1 Nonato ⚽
Rick
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
4 Cicinho D
6 J. Piotrowski M
23 Show M
37 B. Tekpetey M
95 Cauly M
11 K. Despodov M
9 Thiago F
Bench (12)
73 Rick
20 Nonato
90 S. Delev
5 G. Terziev
14 D. Gruper
12 S. Sluga
67 D. Hristov
32 I. Plastun
79 T. Dimitrov
10 M. Tissera
82 I. Yordanov
75 P. Georgiev

Coach: A. Šimundža

Roma

3-5-2
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
19 Z. Çelik M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
7 L. Pellegrini M
59 N. Zalewski M
21 P. Dybala F
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
14 E. Shomurodov
37 L. Spinazzola
52 E. Bove
62 C. Volpato
20 M. Camara
63 P. Boer
1 Rui Patrício
65 F. Tripi
17 M. Viña

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.