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Super League

Referee: S Jablonski

PAOK

T U T S U

1–1

Full-time

AEK

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 64%

59%

69%

Points per game

2,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

56%

41%

Both score Ø 38%

41%

34%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 1,02

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 2. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	32	22	8	2	+38	+14.0	74
2	PAOK	32	19	9	4	+36	+3.9	66
3	Olympiakos	32	19	9	4	+34	+14.7	66
4	Levadeiakos	34	15	10	9	+19	-2.2	55
5	Panathinaikos	32	15	10	7	+17	+4.8	55
6	Atromitos	36	11	11	14	+1	-0.5	44
7	Aris Thessalonikis	31	10	13	8	-1	+0.0	43
8	Aris	31	10	13	8	-1	–	43
9	OFI Crete	35	13	3	19	-13	-8.9	42
10	Kifisia	36	8	14	14	-13	+2.7	38
11	Panetolikos	36	10	8	18	-14	-5.7	38
12	Asteras Tripolis	36	7	12	17	-15	-2.6	33
13	Volos NFC	35	9	6	20	-24	-4.2	33
14	Larisa	36	5	15	16	-22	-8.4	30
15	Panserraikos	36	7	9	20	-42	-7.6	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	16	14	1	1	+25	+9.3	43
2	PAOK	16	13	3	0	+28	+4.5	42
3	Levadeiakos	18	10	5	3	+21	+1.0	35
4	Olympiakos	16	10	4	2	+19	+6.2	34
5	Panathinaikos	16	9	5	2	+15	+1.8	32
6	OFI Crete	17	8	0	9	+4	-2.9	24
7	Asteras Tripolis	18	6	5	7	+2	+1.5	23
8	Aris Thessalonikis	15	4	9	2	+2	+4.2	21
9	Aris	15	4	9	2	+2	–	21
10	Volos NFC	18	5	6	7	-8	+1.6	21
11	Atromitos	18	4	6	8	-4	+0.9	18
12	Kifisia	18	4	6	8	-6	+2.6	18
13	Larisa	18	3	8	7	-10	-0.3	17
14	Panetolikos	18	4	3	11	-11	+0.2	15
15	Panserraikos	18	3	5	10	-21	-5.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	5	2	+15	+8.5	32
2	AEK	16	8	7	1	+13	+4.7	31
3	Atromitos	18	7	5	6	+5	-1.4	26
4	PAOK	16	6	6	4	+8	-0.7	24
5	Panathinaikos	16	6	5	5	+2	+3.0	23
6	Panetolikos	18	6	5	7	-3	-5.8	23
7	Aris Thessalonikis	16	6	4	6	-3	-4.2	22
8	Aris	16	6	4	6	-3	–	22
9	Levadeiakos	16	5	5	6	-2	-3.2	20
10	Kifisia	18	4	8	6	-7	+0.1	20
11	OFI Crete	18	5	3	10	-17	-6.1	18
12	Panserraikos	18	4	4	10	-21	-2.4	16
13	Larisa	18	2	7	9	-12	-8.1	13
14	Volos NFC	17	4	0	13	-16	-5.8	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	18	1	7	10	-17	-4.1	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.