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Champions League
Referee: Artem Gasparyan
Tre Fiori
S T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Larne
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tre Fiori Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Tre Fiori Larne
10′
🟨 Sean Graham
19′
🟨 Sam McClelland
45′
⚽ M. Lusty 0–1
S. McClelland
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 B. Magee
↦ S. McClelland
M. Sancisi 🔁
↦ P. Mengucci
56′
G. Ponticelli 🔁
↦ A. D'Addario
57′
Matteo Prandelli 🟨
58′
F. Pesaresi 🔁
↦ S. Rea
63′
63′
🔁 J. Ukek
↦ M. Gibson
63′
🔁 J. McEneff
↦ R. Doherty
F. Dolcini 🔁
↦ F. Benedettini
78′
N. Manara 🔁
↦ T. L. Bernardi
78′
78′
🔁 K. O'Hara
↦ M. Lusty
88′
🔁 J. Simpson
↦ S. Graham
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tre Fiori

3-4-1-2
17 M. Nardi G
6 T. Syku D
5 S. Rea D
23 A. Sirri D
2 A. D'Addario D
29 R. Bertani M
4 B. Sami M
24 P. Mengucci D
20 F. Benedettini M
10 T. L. Bernardi F
9 M. Prandelli F
Bench (10)
25 A. Castagnoli
33 M. Berardi
3 M. Sancisi
8 L. Censoni
12 F. Pesaresi
16 F. Dolcini
27 M. Ben Kacem
28 L. Terenzi
76 N. Manara
99 G. Ponticelli

Coach: Matteo Cecchetti

Larne

3-5-2
1 R. Ferguson G
5 S. McClelland D
3 M. Ridley D
4 A. Donnelly D
23 T. Cosgrove D
26 D. Bent M
6 C. Gallagher M
15 R. Doherty M
11 S. Graham D
45 M. Gibson F
30 M. Lusty F
Bench (11)
36 D. Graham
2 L. Wallace
7 C. McKendry
8 M. Randall
14 B. Magee
17 J. Ukek
19 K. O'Hara
21 L. Millar
22 J. McEneff
25 D. Sloan
47 J. Simpson

Coach: Gary Haveron

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.